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The W - Random - Wildly Speculative Oscar Thread
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Freeway
Scrapple








Since: 3.1.02
From: Calgary

Since last post: 221 days
Last activity: 3 days
#1 Posted on | Instant Rating: 5.96
Yep. It's a good...three months until the Oscar season is over, so let's all vaguely guess based on what we've seen so far. Listed are all the people I think have a good shot.

Best Picture
-Seabiscuit
-Matchstick Men
-Open Range
-Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King
-Mystic River
-The Human Stain
-The Last Samurai
-Master & Commander: The Far Side of the World
-Mona Lisa Smile
-The Alamo
-Cold Mountain
-House of Sand & Fog

Best Actor
-Tobey Maguire [Seabiscuit]
-Nicolas Cage [Matchstick Men]
-Robert Duvall [Open Range]
-Viggo Mortensen [LOTR: Return of the King]
-Nick Nolte [The Good Thief]
-Denzel Washington [Out of Time]
-Anthony Hopkins [The Human Stain]
-Sean Penn [Mystic River]
-Russell Crowe [Master & Commander]
-Tom Cruise [The Last Samurai]
-Dennis Quaid [The Alamo]
-Jude Law [Cold Mountain]
-Ben Kingsley [House of Sand & Fog]

Best Supporting Actor
-Jeff Bridges [Seabiscuit]
-Chris Cooper [Seabiscuit]
-Johnny Depp [Pirates of the Caribbean]
-Ian McKellan [LOTR: Return of the King]
-Sam Rockwell [Matchstick Men]
-Ed Harris [The Human Stain]
-Tim Robbins [Mystic River]
-Paul Bettany [Master & Commander]

Best Actress
-Nicole Kidman [The Human Stain]
-Nicole Kidman [Cold Mountain]
-Evan Rachel Wood [Thirteen]
-Cate Blanchett [Veronica Guerin]
-Julia Roberts [Mona Lisa Smile]
-Renee Zelwegger [Cold Mountain]
-Jennifer Connelly [House of Sand & Fog]

Best Supporting Actress
-Elizabeth Banks [Seabiscuit]
-Holly Hunter [Thirteen]
-Alison Lohman [Matchstick Men]
-Kirsten Dunst [Mona Lisa Smile]
-Julia Stiles [Mona Lisa Smile]
-Maggie Gyllenhaal [Mona Lisa Smile]

Best Director
-Kevin Costner [Open Range]
-Gary Ross [Seabiscuit]
-Ridley Scott [Matchstick Men]
-Quentin Tarantino [Kill Bill]
-Peter Jackson [LOTR: Return of the King]
-Robert Benton [The Human Stain]
-Clint Eastwood [Mystic River]
-Peter Weir [Master & Commander]
-Edward Zwick [The Last Samurai]
-Mike Newell [Mona Lisa Smile]
-John Lee Hancock [The Alamo]
-Anthony Minghella [Cold Mountain]
-Vadim Perelman [House of Sand & Fog]

Best Screenplay (Adapted)
-Gary Ross [Seabiscuit] (Based on book "Seabiscuit: An American Legend" by Laura Hillenbrand)
-Craig Storper [Open Range] (Based on novel "The Open Range Men" by Lauran Paine)
-Ted & Nick Griffin [Matchstick Men] (Based on novel by Eric Garcia)
-Nicholas Meyer [The Human Stain] (Based on novel by Phillip Roth)
-Brian Helgeland [Mystic River] (Based on novel by Dennis Lehane)
-Peter Jackson, Phillipa Boyens, Frances Walsh & Stephen Sinclair [LOTR: Return of the King] (If you don't know who wrote it originally, go to hell)
-Anthony Mingella [Cold Mountain] (Based on novel by Charles Frazier)
-Shawn Lawrence Otto & Vadim Perelman [House of Sand & Fog] (Based on novel by Andre Dubas III)

Best Screenplay (Original)
-Paul Mayeda Berges, Guljut Bindra & Gurinder Chadha [Bend It Like Beckham]
-Doug Jung [Confidence]
-Catherine Hardwicke & Nikki Reed [Thirteen]
-Robert Ramsey, Matthew Stone, John Romano, Ethan & Joel Coen [Intolerable Cruelty]
-John Logan [The Last Samurai]
-Mark Rosenthal & Lawrence Konner [Mona Lisa Smile]
-John Sayles & Stephen Gaghan [The Alamo]

Technical Awards
Movies that don't really deserve nomination in the big categories, like the two Matrix sequels (Reloaded & Revolutions), Kill Bill (possible director nod is all it may get), The Hulk & X2.

Oh yeah, we all know that Finding Nemo's going to win the Animated Feature Oscar...or SHOULD WIN.

(edited by Freeway420 on 11.9.03 1019)


Your winner and 3-time Stanley Cup Champion...the New Jersey Devils! Their title defense begins in 4 months!
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DarkRenegade
Bockwurst








Since: 19.5.02
From: YOUR MOTHER!

Since last post: 2668 days
Last activity: 428 days
AIM:  
#2 Posted on
...


I'd add Whale Rider to at least the adapted screenplay nominations.




Why, oh why didn't you guys vote for Molly?!

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Visit JKyle.com...it's good for you!

OlFuzzyBastard
Knackwurst








Since: 28.4.02
From: Pittsburgh, PA

Since last post: 11 days
Last activity: 10 days
AIM:  
#3 Posted on
I have a feeling Tim Burton's going to get a nom for Big Fish, although this should be Peter Jackson's year.



"These are the same arguments, the precise same arguments that were being made before the war. Itís going to be a quagmire. What is the plan? When do we get out? How much is it going to cost? Someone in the military might get his hair mussed. We heard all these arguments."
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Big Bad
Scrapple








Since: 4.1.02
From: Dorchester, Ontario

Since last post: 2 days
Last activity: 21 hours
#4 Posted on | Instant Rating: 5.54
Bill Murray and Scarlett Johannsson for Lost in Translation.

I agree with OlFuzzy about Big Fish. Ewan McGregor, Alison Lohman (again), Albert Finney and Jessica Lange could all be possible nominees from that movie.

None of the LotR actors have any hope of a nominations, let alone a win. The movie just isn't built to showcase acting talent; McKellen's nomination in 2001 was more because everyone loves Sir Ian.



"When this bogus term alternative rock was being thrown at every '70s retro rehash folk group, we were challenging people to new sonic ideas. If some little snotty anarchist with an Apple Mac and an attitude thinks he invented dance music and the big rock group is coming into his territory, [that's] ridiculous." - Bono, 1997
Freeway
Scrapple








Since: 3.1.02
From: Calgary

Since last post: 221 days
Last activity: 3 days
#5 Posted on | Instant Rating: 5.96
The way I see it, every year there's only a few categories of films released:

-"Gee, they made a fun, smart movie. I GUESS we should give them SOMETHING." Indy sensations (Whale Rider, Bend It Like Beckham, Lost in Translation)
-"About as good as I expected, which is very good." (Open Range, Seabiscuit, Return of the King, other Oscar bait films)
-"Not as good as I expected, but maybe we set the bar too high" (Matrix Reloaded & Revolutions, Hulk, X2, Kill Bill)

I just finished making the print for Matchstick Men tonight...I wanna encourage everyone to see it, because it's Ridley Scott and Nicolas Cage and it's gonna rock.



Your winner and 3-time Stanley Cup Champion...the New Jersey Devils! Their title defense begins in 4 months!
oldschoolhero
Knackwurst








Since: 2.1.02
From: nWo Country

Since last post: 1903 days
Last activity: 1837 days
#6 Posted on
Crazy-Go-Nuts Picking:

Cold Mountain takes Best Picture
Peter Jackson takes Best Director
Tom Cruise takes Best Actor (I'd go for Penn, but let's face it, he's a loon, and that never washes with the Academy)
Rene Zelwegger (blech) takes Best Actress
Jonny Depp takes Best Supporting Actor
Maggie Gyllenhal takes Best Supporting Actress

I heartily look forward to ALL of these being wrong come February, thus making me look utterly foolish. Huzzah!



And Lo, The Urine Shall Flow Freely In The Aisles, As Small Children And Frail Old Ladies Flee Before The Brutality, The Might, The Sheer Viciousness...Of ~EVIL COACH~!

A-MOL
Frankfurter








Since: 26.6.02
From: York, England

Since last post: 3790 days
Last activity: 3732 days
#7 Posted on
Does Bend It... count? It was out here last summer.



...full of energy. Multi-orgasmic, if you will, in a cosmic sort of way."
Freeway
Scrapple








Since: 3.1.02
From: Calgary

Since last post: 221 days
Last activity: 3 days
#8 Posted on | Instant Rating: 5.96
    Originally posted by A-MOL
    Does Bend It... count? It was out here last summer.


Bend It DOES count, due to it premiering in Los Angeles during the calendar year of 2003.



Your winner and 3-time Stanley Cup Champion...the New Jersey Devils! Their title defense begins in 4 months!
Big Bad
Scrapple








Since: 4.1.02
From: Dorchester, Ontario

Since last post: 2 days
Last activity: 21 hours
#9 Posted on | Instant Rating: 5.54
From what I've heard of Zellweger's role in Cold Mountain, it's more of a supporting performance. I think she's got to be considered the long-term favourite at this point because she's the biggest name amongst the probable nominees.

And if she wins, then we'll all be treated to yet another one of the patented Zellweger insane speeches, so even better. Maybe Jack White will be her Oscar date.



"When this bogus term alternative rock was being thrown at every '70s retro rehash folk group, we were challenging people to new sonic ideas. If some little snotty anarchist with an Apple Mac and an attitude thinks he invented dance music and the big rock group is coming into his territory, [that's] ridiculous." - Bono, 1997
krakken2000
Kishke








Since: 31.10.02
From: seattle

Since last post: 1917 days
Last activity: 1643 days
#10 Posted on | Instant Rating: 4.36
I'll second the shout out to Bill Murray in "Lost in Translation" From what I am hearing his work is just incredible in this film.



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