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The W - Random - Weekend Box Office for new movies
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Torchslasher
Knackwurst








Since: 17.1.02
From: New F'n Jersey

Since last post: 8 days
Last activity: 14 hours
#1 Posted on | Instant Rating: 6.44
Since I was so good at predicting the box office draw of Spiderman (I picked 50 and it was only more than twice that number), I thought I would come back with predictions for this weekend.

1. XXX- Reviews have been mediocore to awful (D from Entertainment Weakly), but enough teens will see this movie to give it number 1.

2. Signs- Word of mouth and decent reviews should help this movie have a decent sophmore frame.

3. Spy Kids 2- It's a sequel, so you know it will make tons of dough.

4. Blood Work- Older audiences will be split between this and Signs, but I think that Eastwood's movie will out-perform expectations.

My predictions:

XXX- 52 million
Signs- 35 million
Spy Kids 2- 28 million (for the weekend only, I'm not counting Wednesday and Thursday)
Blood Work- 16 million (a respectable number)

Any other predictions out there?



"Oh would you stop being all stealthy and just get in the truck"- Tom Servo
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The Psycho Pirate
Chorizo








Since: 31.3.02
From: Earth-Three

Since last post: 4392 days
Last activity: 4119 days
#2 Posted on

Triple X - $49.9
SIgns - $29
Spy Kids - $19.3 (weekend only)
Bloodwork - $ 13.5



You're all so WONDERFUL. Why did they ever have to remove you from the continuity? You'd have made for MARVELOUS stories. You WILL make marvelous stories. And the FIRST story of the new world will be a story of REVENGE! -- The Psycho Pirate, Animal Man 23, May 1990.
Freeway
Scrapple








Since: 3.1.02
From: Calgary

Since last post: 371 days
Last activity: 58 days
#3 Posted on
It's simple math. For second week releases, take 30% off of the previous week's total, and for everything past that, cut the gross in half! The rest of the cash goes to XXX.

Last Week's Numbers (Courtesy boxofficemojo.com)
1. Signs $60.1M
2. Goldmember $31.1M
3. Master of Disguise $12.5
4. Run Tel Dat $7.3
5. Road to Perdition $6.6

This Week's Estimates
1. XXX $65M
2. Signs $30M
3. Spy Kids $20M
4. Goldmember $15M
4. Bloodwork $10M
XXX will make more than Signs becuase of more screens showing the movie. It's gonna have a Men In Black style opening where it has a HUGE first weekend, then gradually tapers off. Signs drops down, but not a lot because of the amount of people wanting an alternative to XXX. Powers has staying power...

(edited by Freeway420 on 9.8.02 1358)


"That's what the Internet is for, slandering others anonymously" Banky Edwards (Jason Lee), Jay & Silent Bob Strike Back

"Smile." Maguire (Jude Law), Road to Perdition

"You can't fight in here, this is the War Room!" The President (Peter Sellers), Dr. Strangelove or How I Learned To Stop Worrying And Love the Bomb
tomvejada
Andouille








Since: 2.1.02

Since last post: 4140 days
Last activity: 4140 days
#4 Posted on
1. XXX-$58 Mil

2. Signs-$39 Mil

3. Spy Kids 2-$34 Mil

4. Goldmember-$20 Mil

5. Blood Work-$17 Mil



"Catching Hitler was neato!" "Next stop, Hirohito!"
Bart Simpson
Super Shane Spear
Bierwurst








Since: 2.1.02
From: Sector 7 Slums

Since last post: 1657 days
Last activity: 1657 days
#5 Posted on | Instant Rating: 3.08
Signs - $25M
XXX - $23M
Spy Kids 2 - $19M (weekend)
Goldmember - $9M
Run Tel Dat - $6M





B-B-B-BROKEN DOWN!

Net Hack Slasher
Banger








Since: 6.1.02
From: Outer reaches of your mind

Since last post: 3655 days
Last activity: 2075 days
#6 Posted on
I think you guys (and most experts) are underestimating the popularity of Spy Kids and overestimating the staying power of signs.

Spy Kids 1 had a real good word of mouth and stayed in the top 4 for a month. I think a lot of kid liked the first one and will come out opening weekend for this. Opening on Wednesday will effect the number so that might give signs a chance.

I do not see signs having much staying power. I've heard some bad word of mouth on it and I don't know how many people will watch it twice or tell there friend "you have to watch this"

I see XXX and Spy kids fighting for first (XXX will probabley take it) while signs is in third



I don't get it, everyone loves rats, but they don't want to drink the rats milk?
Mr Heel II
Lap cheong








Since: 25.2.02

Since last post: 46 days
Last activity: 2 days
#7 Posted on

    Originally posted by Torchslasher
    XXX- Reviews have been mediocore to awful (D from Entertainment Weakly), but enough teens will see this movie to give it number 1
Ebert gave it 3 1/2 stars. Hardly bad.

Expect XXX to do a monster business, higher than anybody's expectations, with "Signs" impressive in second. "Spy Kids" has horrible trailers, but should still be third.
Teppan-Yaki
Pepperoni








Since: 28.6.02

Since last post: 1003 days
Last activity: 973 days
#8 Posted on
From Yahoo! Movies Weekend Estimates

The last two numbers are weeks released and amount of theatres released in.

1 - XXX SONY $46,000,000 $46,000,000 1 3374
2 1 Signs BV $30,000,000 $118,300,000 2 3310
3 - Spy Kids M'MAX $17,000,000 $25,329,000 1 3307
4 2 Austin Powers in Goldmember NL $13,075,000 $167,795,000 3 3508
5 - Blood Work WB $7,235,000 $7,235,000 1 2525
6 3 The Master of Disguise SONY $5,100,000 $23,800,000 2 2568
7 5 Road to Perdition D'WORKS $4,000,000 $84,100,000 5 2211
8 4 Martin Lawrence Live: Runteldat PARA $3,175,000 $13,185,000 2 774
9 9 My Big Fat Greek Wedding IFC FILMS $3,150,218 $45,080,882 17 723
10 6 Stuart Little 2 SONY $2,700,000 $53,000,000 4 2382
11 7 Men in Black II SONY $2,100,000 $186,500,000 6 2076


Congrats to Psycho Pirate to being *very* close... no Double Showcase Winner -- but you do receive a day's supply of Turtle! Turtle! Wax.


(edited by Teppan-Yaki on 11.8.02 1354)
Torchslasher
Knackwurst








Since: 17.1.02
From: New F'n Jersey

Since last post: 8 days
Last activity: 14 hours
#9 Posted on | Instant Rating: 6.44
What a world we live in when an opening weekend of 46 million is considered a disappointing number. Box office expectations were too high for Vin and his movie, as evidenced by most of us prognosticators here(except for SSS). I'm glad that Signs continued to perform well, but I do feel for Eastwood after what looks like a good movie underperformed.



"Oh would you stop being all stealthy and just get in the truck"- Tom Servo
Mild Mannered Madman
Toulouse








Since: 1.3.02
From: Westminster, CA

Since last post: 535 days
Last activity: 253 days
#10 Posted on

    Originally posted by Torchslasher
    What a world we live in when an opening weekend of 46 million is considered a disappointing number. Box office expectations were too high for Vin and his movie, as evidenced by most of us prognosticators here(except for SSS). I'm glad that Signs continued to perform well, but I do feel for Eastwood after what looks like a good movie underperformed.


Eastwood's bailiwick isn't #1 films. His films usually do a slow burn while getting good acclaim.






We're all mad here... I'm mad... You're mad...
spf
Scrapple








Since: 2.1.02
From: The Las Vegas of Canada

Since last post: 9 days
Last activity: 15 hours
AIM:  
#11 Posted on
I just think it's great that "Greek Wedding" is going to end up doing over $50 million at the box office. Gives me hope that a small film that gets some promotional push can actually make money for people and hopefully bring about more of the same.



You never know when you'll meet that special someone... the someone that's mysteriously blind to your flaws. or, you know, stupid enough not to realize that yes, you really are that cynical.
evilwaldo
Lap cheong








Since: 7.2.02
From: New York, NY

Since last post: 3474 days
Last activity: 3254 days
AIM:  
#12 Posted on | Instant Rating: 0.00

    Originally posted by spf2119
    I just think it's great that "Greek Wedding" is going to end up doing over $50 million at the box office. Gives me hope that a small film that gets some promotional push can actually make money for people and hopefully bring about more of the same.


I agree.

Greek Wedding is my second favorite movie this year behind Signs.





These commercials are superfine because they pay for the production costs of putting CHRIS MOTHERFUCKING BENOIT on my GODDAMN TV SCREEN! I will GO GREYHOUND! I am thinking OUTSIDE THE BUN! Dean Rasmussen 8/1/2002 Smackdown Workrate Report
The Psycho Pirate
Chorizo








Since: 31.3.02
From: Earth-Three

Since last post: 4392 days
Last activity: 4119 days
#13 Posted on

Down here in the sunny climates of Va Beach, one theatre has been showing Greek Wedding for like 6 or 8 weeks. Which is all well and good, but it's the "mainstream" theatre that shows one indy film at a time. And I want them to be showing Full Frontal soon. :>



You're all so WONDERFUL. Why did they ever have to remove you from the continuity? You'd have made for MARVELOUS stories. You WILL make marvelous stories. And the FIRST story of the new world will be a story of REVENGE! -- The Psycho Pirate, Animal Man 23, May 1990.
Super Shane Spear
Bierwurst








Since: 2.1.02
From: Sector 7 Slums

Since last post: 1657 days
Last activity: 1657 days
#14 Posted on | Instant Rating: 3.08
I did pretty well, outside of XXX this week. I'm am surprised about the lack of new people to go see Runteldat, but I am NOT surprised about the somewhat lackluster fall for SK2.





B-B-B-BROKEN DOWN!

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