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The W - Football - Week 1 NFL / Week 2 College Football Picks and Discussion
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Trunzo
Cotechino








Since: 25.7.03
From: New York City

Since last post: 599 days
Last activity: 2 days
#1 Posted on | Instant Rating: 3.74
College:

I really like Alabama -9.5 on the road against Penn State. Penn State is in a reload phase where they've lost a lot of defensive studs, and a lopsided Week 1 blowout win against an overmatched Indiana State seems to have made people forget that. Nick Saban will force Penn State's younger players to make plays, which I just don't think they can make. This game also fits in Rule 1 of my Gambling Handbook: Always bet on one of the top 3 SEC teams when they play out of conference.

I also will bet a McChicken or two with some people on Stanford -21 at Duke. Stanford has a penchant for running up the score, and Andrew Luck should have a field day against Duke's vanilla defense. Duke is too simple on D, it will be similar to playing against practice squad defense.

I am leaning towards Tennessee (-6 at home vs Cincinnati), Auburn (+6.5 at home vs Mississippi State), and North Carolina (-10 at home vs Rutgers). Don't want to make them official bets/picks yet, might update this later in the week.


NFL

I love the Eagles -4.5 at St. Louis. That dome and turf means the Eagles 4x100 relay team (Vick/Jackson/Maclin/McCoy) will be firing fast and furious. St. Louis is too young on offense to keep up with the scoring. I think this one ends pretty ugly, 34-17.

I like the Falcons and Bears to stay under 40 in a sloppy game at the new Soldier Field. The Bears are trotting out Roy Williams and Devin Hester at 1 and 2 WR spots, so expect little offense from them. 17-14 type game.

Leaning towards Oakland +3 at Denver, may update later to make that an official pick.
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hansen9j
Andouille








Since: 7.11.02
From: Riderville, SK

Since last post: 4 days
Last activity: 1 hour
#2 Posted on | Instant Rating: 8.59
The AFC South games seem to be "Do you have a QB? You do? You're going to win." It wouldn't shock me if Collins doesn't even last the game without being pulled; it's difficult to parachute into any team and start, but the Indy offense could be a disaster in unfamiliar hands.

NO vs GB is the battle between the best teams in their divisions. Atl vs Chi is the battle between teams that often look like the best teams in their divisions.

I can't shake the feeling of Arizona being exactly as bad as they were last year, despite Kolb. (I think Kolb would do just fine on another team, one with a functional O-line. In the desert, he won't remember his name.) They'll still beat Carolina, though.

The Monday night games seem so bad. One where New England has no chance of losing, and one where I have no chance of watching. (That being said, I have vivid memories of New England almost losing the equivalent game two years ago against Buffalo, so I will still watch the early game.)

(edited by hansen9j on 8.9.11 1033)


The Big Bossman raised the briefcase.

Go Pack Go! (Champs!)
Let's Go Riders! (2-7, first in peace, first in war, last in the Canadian Football League)
Doc_whiskey
Frankfurter








Since: 6.8.02
From: St. Louis

Since last post: 43 days
Last activity: 43 days
AIM:  
#3 Posted on | Instant Rating: 9.00
    Originally posted by Trunzo

    NFL

    I love the Eagles -4.5 at St. Louis. That dome and turf means the Eagles 4x100 relay team (Vick/Jackson/Maclin/McCoy) will be firing fast and furious. St. Louis is too young on offense to keep up with the scoring. I think this one ends pretty ugly, 34-17.




You may be right, but I will say St. Louis has a very underrated pass rush and Philadelphia has a very inexperienced offensive line. On the other side of the ball, Philly's D line is also young and the St. Louis O-line is solid and Steven Jackson is great. I am guessing Philly wins this and covers, but I think the final will be within 10, and certainly not a blowout.



Lisa: Poor predicatble Bart, always picks rock
Bart: Good ole rock, nothing beats that
hansen9j
Andouille








Since: 7.11.02
From: Riderville, SK

Since last post: 4 days
Last activity: 1 hour
#4 Posted on | Instant Rating: 8.59
    Originally posted by Doc_whiskey
      Originally posted by Trunzo

      NFL

      I love the Eagles -4.5 at St. Louis. That dome and turf means the Eagles 4x100 relay team (Vick/Jackson/Maclin/McCoy) will be firing fast and furious. St. Louis is too young on offense to keep up with the scoring. I think this one ends pretty ugly, 34-17.




    You may be right, but I will say St. Louis has a very underrated pass rush and Philadelphia has a very inexperienced offensive line.
Agreed. The Rams could very well get five sacks (and still lose).



The Big Bossman raised the briefcase.

Go Pack Go! (Champs!)
Let's Go Riders! (2-7, first in peace, first in war, last in the Canadian Football League)
Dutchie
Boerewors
Moderator








Since: 29.1.02
From: PA

Since last post: 6 days
Last activity: 10 hours
#5 Posted on | Instant Rating: 10.00
    Originally posted by Trunzo
    College:

    I really like Alabama -9.5 on the road against Penn State. Penn State is in a reload phase where they've lost a lot of defensive studs, and a lopsided Week 1 blowout win against an overmatched Indiana State seems to have made people forget that. Nick Saban will force Penn State's younger players to make plays, which I just don't think they can make. This game also fits in Rule 1 of my Gambling Handbook: Always bet on one of the top 3 SEC teams when they play out of conference.




Don't know if this might affect your perception of the point spread, but Central/Eastern PA has some pretty sloppy weather right now. I don't think there's flooding in State College, but the ground is ridiculously soft. It's supposed to clear up by Saturday, but with the rain that's been coming down now for a week, the ground will most likely be pretty soft. Penn State didn't lose many defensive "studs" either - starting MLB and OLB, and a DT. IMHO, the guys they have now are better than what they lost. The real issue with PSU is the mess that is the QB situtation, and the offensive line. That's where we lost the stud (Wiz to the Raiders). Pretty much, I agree with you that Alabama should win this, but the weather might play around a little with that spread.
spf
Scrapple








Since: 2.1.02
From: The Las Vegas of Canada

Since last post: 26 days
Last activity: 1 day
AIM:  
#6 Posted on | Instant Rating: 5.48
I posted this in the other thread. This likely will end up getting you some matchsticks if you had bet on it.


    I would likely comment at least once a week in a thread that was about NFL picks.

    In fact I'll start now. I would bet a lot of matchsticks or pieces of chewing gum on the over 47 in tomorrow night's NFL game.




2007 and 2008 W-League Fantasy Football champion!
redsoxnation
Scrapple








Since: 24.7.02

Since last post: 515 days
Last activity: 515 days
#7 Posted on | Instant Rating: 5.29
If ever there was a game that screamed reverse tease lock, it is Stanford against Duke. Thought the line should have been in the 30's to begin with.
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