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The W - Current Events & Politics - VP Debate (Page 2)
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Downtown Bookie
Morcilla








Since: 7.4.02
From: The Inner City, Now Living In The Country

Since last post: 148 days
Last activity: 2 days
#21 Posted on | Instant Rating: 3.40
    Originally posted by Stephanie
      Originally posted by Downtown Bookie
        Originally posted by CRZ
        Who you thought "won" probably determines how you've already made up your mind and are voting anyway.
        Originally posted by CNN
        The CNN/Opinion Research Corp. said 51 percent of those polled thought Biden did the best job, while 36 percent thought Palin did the best job....The poll had a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points.
        Originally posted by CBS
        Democratic presidential nominee Barack Obama leads GOP rival John McCain 49 percent to 40 percent among registered voters in a new CBS News poll.....The error due to sampling for results based on the entire sample could be plus or minus three percentage points
      51% - 49% = 2%; 40% - 36% = 4%; in other words, within the margin of error, the national polls show that the winner of the VP Debate in your eyes is the candidate you were planning on voting for anyway. Spot on CRZ.

      The CNN poll numbers can be found here (cnn.com) while the CBS poll is located here (cbsnews.com).



    (edited by Downtown Bookie on 3.10.08 0533)


No - both the national polls show Biden the winner - by 15% in the CNN poll and 9% in the CBS poll. I have no idea what you were going for in comparing Biden's and Palin's numbers across polls, and then stating that they were within the margin of error.

Steph
I thought my post was clear enough, but apparently not. Allow me to clarify.

CRZ made the point that whoever a person thinks "won" the VP debate is whoever that person was planning on voting for anyway. If CRZ's statement is true, than the number of people who thought Biden won should equal the number of people who were planning on voting for the Obama/Biden ticket, while the number of people who thought Palin won should equal the number of people who were planning on voting for the McCain/Palin ticket.

And guess what? They do! 51% of the people thought Biden won, which (within the understood margin of error) equals the number of people planning to vote Obama/Biden (49%). 36% thought Palin won, which (again, within the understood margin of error) equals the number of people planning to vote for McCain/Palin (40%).

By the way, the CBS poll I cited wasn't a poll asking who won the VP debate; it was a national poll asking people for whom they would be voting. Perhaps that was your source of confusion? Anyway, I hope this helps you (and anyone else who may not have understood my original post) see the point that was being made.




http://www.americasupportsyou.mil


"Share your food with the hungry, and give shelter to the homeless. Give clothes to those who need them, and do not hide from relatives who need your help." - Isaiah 58:7 (New Living Translation)
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And I should also direct you to the thread over at Reddit (reddit.com) where everyone else has already done the heavy lifting and sifting. :)
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