Freeway
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Since: 3.1.02 From: Calgary
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| #1 Posted on 12.1.04 1654.25 | Instant Rating: 5.96 | The nominations for the 76th annual Academy of Motion Picture Arts & Sciences Awards, known as the Oscars, will be announced January 27th...but for the time being, let's play the guessing game!
BEST PICTURE: -The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King -Mystic River -Lost In Translation -Cold Mountain -The Last Samurai ALTERNATES: Seabiscuit or In America WHY: Return of the King, Mystic & LoT have gotten nothing but good reviews. It's a three horse race between Cold Mountain, the Samurai & Seabiscuit for the final two spots, and Cold Mountain has the Miramax machine behind it...and Seabiscuit is likely to get awarded in only one of the top two categories (Picture or Director), so Director is probably what it'll get.
BEST DIRECTOR: -Peter Jackson [Return of the King] -Sofia Coppola [Lost In Translation] -Clint Eastwood [Mystic River] -Peter Weir [Master & Commander] -Gary Ross [Seabiscuit] ALTERNATE: Anthony Minghella [Cold Mountain] WHY: The three locks, plus Weir (while M&C wasn't excellent, the direction was superb) and Ross, since everyone (and me) seems to like Seabiscuit now. Minghella cold sneak in via Miramax's campaign.
BEST ACTOR: -Sean Penn [Mystic River] -Bill Murray [Lost In Translation] -Ben Kingsley [House of Sand & Fog] -Tom Cruise [The Last Samurai] -Johnny Depp [Pirates of the Carribean] ALTERNATES: Jude Law [Cold Mountain] & Russell Crowe [Master & Commander] WHY: SAG nominations basically cement Depp, Penn, Murray & Kingsley. It's between Law, Crowe & Cruise for the final spot, as all of them have Golden Globe noms...but no SAG nomination.
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR: -Alec Baldwin [The Cooler] -Tim Robbins [Mystic River] -Peter Sarsgaard [Shattered Glass] -Ken Watanabe [The Last Samurai] -Benicio Del Toro [21 Grams] WHY: Baldwin, Robbins, Watanabe & del Toro are practically locks. Sarsgaard is probable, but no SAG nom means somebody from Seabiscuit (Chris Cooper, William H. Macy or Jeff Bridges) could sneak in.
BEST ACTRESS: -Charlize Theron [Monster] -Naomi Watts [21 Grams] -Diane Keaton [Something's Gotta Give] -Nicole Kidman [Cold Mountain] -Evan Rachel Wood [Thirteen] WHY: Theron, Keaton, Watts & Kidman are locks. Wood is probable, especially since she got nods from the Golden Globes & SAG...and she's only a teenager!
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS: -Renee Zellweger [Cold Mountain] -Scarlett Johansson [Lost In Translation] -Shohreh Ashdashloo [House of Sand & Fog] -Holly Hunter [Thirteen] -Maria Bello [The Cooler] ALTERNATES: Keisha Castle-Hughes [Whale Rider] & Patricia Clarkson [Pieces of April] WHY: Everyone loves Lost in Translation, so Pieces of April's Patricia Clarkson gets bumped...for now. SAG nom for Clarkson means the race is uber-tight.
BEST SCREENPLAY (ORIGINAL): -Sofia Coppola [Lost In Translation] -Jim, Naomi & Kirsten Sheridan [In America] -John Logan, Edward Zwick & Marshall Herskovitz [Last Samurai] -Steve Knight [Dirty Pretty Things] -Denys Arcand [The Barbarian Invasions]
BEST SCREENPLAY (ADAPTED): -Peter Jackson, Phillipa Boyens & Fran Walsh [Return of the King] -Brian Hedgeland [Mystic River] -Anthony Minghella [Cold Mountain] -Shari Springer Berman & Robert Pulcini [American Splendor] -Peter Weir & John Collee [Master & Commander]
BEST ANIMATED FEATURE: -Finding Nemo -The Triplets of Belleville -Brother Bear
BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY: -Lord of the Rings: Return of the King -Seabiscuit -Finding Nemo -Mystic River -Master & Commander
BEST COSTUME DESIGN: -Lord of the Rings: Return of the King -Seabiscuit -Master & Commander -Last Samurai -Cold Mountain
BEST ART DIRECTION: -Lord of the Rings: Return of the King -Seabiscuit -Cold Mountain -Big Fish -Pirates of the Carribean
BEST FILM EDITING: -Last Samurai -Seabiscuit -Lord of the Rings: Return of the King -Mystic River -Cold Mountain
BEST ORIGINAL SCORE: -Mystic River -Cold Mountain -Lost In Translation -Finding Nemo -Lord of the Rings: Return of the King
BEST ORIGINAL SONG: -"Into the West" [Return of the King] -"Man of the Hour" [Big Fish] -"School of Rock" [School of Rock] -'Time Enough for Tears" [In America] -"You Will Be My True Love" [Cold Mountain]
BEST SOUND EDITING: -Kill Bill Vol. 1 -Lord of the Rings: Return of the King -Seabiscuit
BEST SOUND MIXING -Kill Bill Vol. 1 -Lord of the Rings: Return of the King -Master & Commander -Last Samurai -Pirates of the Carribean
BEST VISUAL EFFECTS: -Lord of the Rings: Return of the King -Master & Commander: Far Side of the World -The Hulk
BEST MAKE-UP: -Monster -Lord of the Rings: Return of the King -Cold Mountain
Other categories I didn't guess for because I have no idea: Documentary Feature & Short, Animated Short & Foreign Language Film
SO, the FILM BY FILM TALLY: 13 - The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King 9 - Cold Mountain 8 - Mystic River 7 - Seabiscuit & The Last Samurai 6 - Lost In Translation & Master & Commander: The Far Side of the World 3 - Pirates of the Carribean: The Curse of the Black Pearl & Finding Nemo 2 - House of Sand & Fog, Kill Bill Vol. 1, The Cooler, 21 Grams, Monster, Big Fish & In America 1 - Shattered Glass, The Hulk, Something's Gotta Give, Veronica Guerin, School of Rock, Thirteen, Dirty Pretty Things, The Barbarian Invasions, American Splendor, The Triplets of Belleville & Brother Bear (Note: The Barbarian Invasions is Canada's official entry into the Best Foreign Film category, and may also be nominated there)
(edited by Freeway420 on 15.1.04 1446)
FLAMES: 21-12-3-3 for 48 points It took the team until March 5th to get 21 wins last year| Promote this thread! | | Brian P. Dermody
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| #2 Posted on 12.1.04 1726.19 | Instant Rating: 7.13 | I just hope nobody forgets about "My Baby's Daddy" this time next year.
You can't stop Pete "Gas". You'd be a fool to try. | The King of Keith
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Since: 4.11.02 From: Winchester, VA
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| #3 Posted on 12.1.04 1751.57 | Instant Rating: 5.58 | I might go with Sean Astin getting a nod for best supporting actor. New Line is promoting him pretty hard.
Please God...
 ...let it happen again | Tenken347
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Since: 27.2.03 From: Parts Unknown
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| #4 Posted on 12.1.04 1755.12 | Instant Rating: 5.17 | | I haven't seen Cold Mountain myself, but with all the media attention it's getting I think it's a lock for a best picture nomination. | Retrovertigo
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Since: 20.12.03 From: Fairfield, OH
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| #5 Posted on 12.1.04 1834.50 | Instant Rating: 4.41 | (This assumes that Big Fish will be eligible for 2003 Oscars.)
Awards shows are mostly worthless anyway, but if Albert Finney doesn't even get nominated for his amazing work in Big Fish, then the Oscars are officially a complete waste of time. Since I saw a sneak preview before New Year's, I have to call Big Fish the best film of the year, but if it's considered a 2004 film, there damn well better be a whole bunch of nominations for it in January of 2005. | Freeway
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Since: 3.1.02 From: Calgary
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| #6 Posted on 12.1.04 1928.23 | Instant Rating: 5.96 | Originally posted by Retrovertigo (This assumes that Big Fish will be eligible for 2003 Oscars.)
Awards shows are mostly worthless anyway, but if Albert Finney doesn't even get nominated for his amazing work in Big Fish, then the Oscars are officially a complete waste of time. Since I saw a sneak preview before New Year's, I have to call Big Fish the best film of the year, but if it's considered a 2004 film, there damn well better be a whole bunch of nominations for it in January of 2005.
Big Fish opened in Los Angeles County in December 2003, so it's eligible for the 2003 Academy Awards. I also really enjoyed Finney's work (as well as Ewan McGregor's), but the fact remains that neither of them have won Critics Awards or Guild Awards...yet. The Screen Actors Guild Awards next week will basically spell out the acting nominations clear as daylight. But as of yet, Finney, McGregor & Sean Astin haven't really gotten much critical acclaim...YET.
FLAMES: 22-13-3-3 for 50 points It took the team until March 5th to get 21 wins last year | Big Bad
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Since: 4.1.02 From: Dorchester, Ontario
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| #7 Posted on 12.1.04 1930.59 | Instant Rating: 5.54 | I'll just stick to the big six.
Picture Lord of the Rings: Return of the King Mystic River Cold Mountain Seabiscuit Lost in Translation
Director Peter Jackson Sofia Coppola Clint Eastwood Anthony Minghella Peter Weir
Actor Sean Penn Bill Murray Ben Kingsley Russell Crowe Jude Law (or Johnny Depp)
Actress Diane Keaton Charlize Theron Scarlett Johansson Naomi Watts Nicole Kidman
Supporting Actor Albert Finney Tim Robbins Ken Watanabe Sean Astin Alec Baldwin
Supporting Actress Renee Zellweger Holly Hunter Marcia Gay Harden Shohreh Aghdashloo Patricia Clarkson
Winners: LOTR, Jackson, Penn, Theron, Finney or Robbins and Zellweger
Rob asks Dave and Ric if they want to go backstage to play Hungry Hungry Hippos and Flair and Batista immediately bail. Flair wants to be Green. Man, EVERYBODY wants to be green. Except the girl in the commercials. She wanted to be pink. That either means that the ad agency was sexist or that she was communist. Of course Hungry Hungry Hippos is a rather capitalist game isn’t it? No self respecting communist would play Hungry Hungry Hippos. Except Stalin. He LOVED Hungry Hungry Hippos. God, I’ve got no clue what the hell I’m rambling about anymore.-- Matt "Excalibur05" Hocking, Raw Satire writer extraordinaire
You know, I just can't call it the "WWE." I just can't. My body's rejecting it like a bad liver transplant.-- Bill Simmons, espn.com/page2
| evilwaldo
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Since: 7.2.02 From: New York, NY
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| #8 Posted on 12.1.04 2217.44 | Instant Rating: 0.00 | Originally posted by Retrovertigo (This assumes that Big Fish will be eligible for 2003 Oscars.)
Awards shows are mostly worthless anyway, but if Albert Finney doesn't even get nominated for his amazing work in Big Fish, then the Oscars are officially a complete waste of time. Since I saw a sneak preview before New Year's, I have to call Big Fish the best film of the year, but if it's considered a 2004 film, there damn well better be a whole bunch of nominations for it in January of 2005.
Big Fish was easily eligible. It opened in New York more than a month ago.
mmmmmm, Breakfast (x-entertainment.com) | Peter The Hegemon
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Since: 11.2.03 From: Hackettstown, NJ
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| #9 Posted on 13.1.04 0203.27 | Instant Rating: 7.03 | I think Scarlett Johansson will be submitted for Best Actress, not Best Supporting Actress, for Lost In Translation.
Also, unless there's been a rule change, I think LOTR will not be eligible in the makeup category because of the use of digital effects. Several films were disqualified on that basis last year. | The Vile1
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Since: 4.9.02 From: California
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| #10 Posted on 13.1.04 1527.55 | Instant Rating: 3.62 | Someone please tell me why Cowboy Bebop isn't nominated for best animated feature? I know there was some kind of technicality bullshit but does anyone know for sure?
 "Just a humble bounty hunter, ma'am." -Spike Spiegel | oldschoolhero
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Since: 2.1.02 From: nWo Country
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| #11 Posted on 13.1.04 1621.02 | Instant Rating: 5.22 | "I think Scarlett Johansson will be submitted for Best Actress, not Best Supporting Actress, for Lost In Translation."
The studio's pushing for a supporting nod, apparently. Which is fair enough, seeing as she would have no chance of winning the lead category due to Oscar politics and all that BS.
Good choices, Freeway-but I think you've overlooked Cold MOuntain waaaay too much in the top categories. Aside from the fact that it's a really well-made movie, it's Big Harv Weinstein's Miramax Oscar Whore. Do you really think he wouldn't find a way of influencing Academy members into ensuring some big-time nominations?
Also, I'm really not feeling the love for Seabiscuit. It was really poorly paced, there was no serious conflict there ("Hey! I'm blind in one eye!" "Eh, who cares?" Pfft), and the direction was, to put it kindly, obvious. It wasn't, like, BAD or anything, but it never got oout of the "middling" range.
Okay, here we are:
Best Picture LotR: RotK Cold Mountain Mystic River The Last Samurai Lost In Translation
Best Director Peter Jackson-LotR:RotK Anthony Minghella-Cold Mountain Clint Eastwood-Mystic River Peter Weir-Master And Commander: The Far Side Of The World Sofia Coppola-Lost In Translation
Best Actor Bill Murray-Lost in Translation Sean Penn-Mystic River Tom Cruise-The Last Samurai (although could be snubbed in favour of Crowe) Ben Kingsley-House Of Sand And Fog Johnny Depp-Pirates Of The Caribbean: The Curse Of The Black Pearl
Best Actress Diane Keaton-Something's Gotta Give Nicole Kidman-Cold Mountain Charlize Theron-Monster Jennifer Connelly-House Of Sand And Fog Naomi Watts-21 Grams
Best Supporting Actor Albert Finney-Big Fish Paul Bettany-Master And Commander: The Far Side Of The World Ken Wanatabe-The Last Samurai Alec Baldwin-The Cooler Tim Robbins-Mystic River
Best Supporting Actress Scarlett Johanssen-Lost In Translation Renee Zellweger-Cold Mountain Marcia Gay Harden-Mystic River Maria Bello-The Cooler Shohreh Aghdashloo-House Of Sand And Fog
And your winners are: Rings, Jackson, Cruise/Crowe (Penn loses due to his politics, Murray & Depp due to being comedy performers, Kingsley due to winning before-IT'S IN REVELATIONS, PEOPLE), Theron (voila-instacred), Wanatabe (at least, he should do), Zellweger (someone shut the Oscar Bitch UP).

"You're A Big Hunk Of Hero Sandwich, And You Wanna Save The Girl!" | odessasteps
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Since: 2.1.02 From: MD, USA
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| #12 Posted on 13.1.04 1813.11 | Instant Rating: 6.41 | Originally posted by The Vile1 Someone please tell me why Cowboy Bebop isn't nominated for best animated feature? I know there was some kind of technicality bullshit but does anyone know for sure?
It was made in 2001.
And was actually released in the US in 2002.
http://us.imdb.com/title/ tt0275277/releaseinfo
Odessa Steps Magazine http://www.odessasteps.com http://odessasteps.blogspot.com | It's False
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| #13 Posted on 14.1.04 1438.13 | Instant Rating: 4.35 | I have a very bad feeling that Johnny Depp will get snubbed in favor of Russell Crowe, which would be a huge travesty.
Peter Jackson deserves his Oscar this time around. Third time's the charm for Lord of the Rings, as it goes up against a weak crop of movies and actually shows how a trilogy SHOULD be concluded (Matrix, I'm looking at YOU!). Easily my pick for Best Picture.
 You really SHOULD think about going back to your old Yankees cap, yo! | Freeway
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| #14 Posted on 14.1.04 1503.54 | Instant Rating: 5.96 | OldSchoolHero, the Academy is insane when it comes to cycles. Almost Famous was a brutally fantastic film, but got snubbed due to Cameron Crowe's Jerry Maguire being a big winner a few years beforehand. The Academy is about politics and "fairness", and it's unlikely that a former Best Director winner like Anythony Minghella will get a lot of nominations since The English Patient was so recent. One could argue the same about Mystic River, but Unforgiven was 11 years ago.
Plus, Cold Mountain wasn't (in my opinion) as good as any of the five films I want to see nominated for Best Picture. It was great, but the others were even better.
FLAMES: 22-13-3-3 for 50 points It took the team until March 5th to get 21 wins last year | oldschoolhero
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Since: 2.1.02 From: nWo Country
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| #15 Posted on 14.1.04 1514.37 | Instant Rating: 5.22 | Sorry, but I can't in good conscience call Seabiscuit better than Cold Mountain. On any level. And Minghella's recent win is cancelled out by the fact that he's an Oscar darling, which Cameron Crowe was not. He's British, he's arty, he's erudite, he's everything Oscar loves. Besides, both Spielberg and Soderbergh have proven in the past that close proximity means little-Christ, the 'Berg won two in five years and Soderbergh was nominated TWICE in one year! Plus, again I play the Miramax card. Weinstein got both Chocolat and The Cider House Rules up for major awards-you think he's going to have ANY problems with a film that's actually, y'know, GOOD? Care to bet against it? ;-)

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