I took all the bodog.com Super Bowl bets and compiled them into one google doc file.
You get 1000 W-dollars to spend on any bets that you want. The person who wins the most money will win the respect and adulation of everyone involved. Everyone who finishes below +50 will be heaped with scorn (assuming I calculated these odds correctly, +50 is your winnings if you bet all $1000 that there will not be a missed extra point (-2000), the proposition that bodog lists as the most likely among any of them).
I can tell you that from least likely to most likely, moneyline odds go like this: +3000, +200, +105, EVEN, -105, -200, -2000. Under the multiple choice betting section, there are a few that are listed in fractional odds instead. In fractional odds, 1/1 is the same as EVEN, 4/1 is the same as +400, and 1/4 is the same as -400.
So the most you could possibly win is if you spent all 1000 W-dollars on a bet that Jerry Jones would appear on the cover of the Monday after the Super Bowl's USA Today holding the Lombardi trophy. Odds for that are 100/1, so that would earn you a cool 100,000 w-dollars should that happen. But the only scenario I can see that with is if he pulls a daring heist of the trophy and tries to flee the country with it, which seems unlikely.
All bets have to be in before Christina Aguilera appears for the national anthem.
I'm putting all of my eggs in the James Jones basket:
$200 How many receiving yards will James Jones have? Over 35½ -130
$200 How many receptions will James Jones have? Over 3 -130
$200 Will James Jones score a touchdown? Yes +155
$200 Who will record more receiving yards? Heath Miller EVEN James Jones +4½ -130
$200 Who will record more receptions? James Jones EVEN Jordy Nelson -130
EDIT: Crap, I missed the multi-choice tab!
$200 Player to Score First TD James Jones 12/1
$200 Player to Score First Green Bay TD James Jones 7/1
Full disclosure: I had already went James Jones heavy on actual, real money betting before this thread, so if it's good for my real money, it's good enough for my fake money.
(edited by hansen9j on 28.1.11 1933) It is the policy of the documentary crew to remain true observers and not interfere with its subjects. "Well. Shit." -hansen9j Go Pack Go! (10-6, NFC champions) Let's Go Riders! (getting pretty tired of being the bridesmaid)
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Every few years, Vandy plays UF tough. In UF's 96 NC year, the Gators only won 28-21, with the game in doubt almost for the entire game. In 1999, UF barely beat Vandy 13-6 IN GAINESVILLE. A close game to Vandy doesn't scare me.