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The W - Current Events & Politics - Somebody could make a fortune
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MoeGates
Andouille








Since: 6.1.02
From: Brooklyn, NY

Since last post: 5 days
Last activity: 1 day
#1 Posted on | Instant Rating: 6.28
The odds for the California Guv's race are all over the place, and changing daily. The right combo of bets could produce a sure-thing profit. In fact, a lot of places have stopped taking them

Warning: I think some of these are frames (or you other wise might have to do a little searching), and unless you like to hit the tracks with your boss during happy hour, I wouldn't recommend these for the workplace.

http://www.bodog.com/sports-betting/non-sports-events.jsp

http://www.wallstreetbets.com/livesports/indexmember.html

I saw McClintock at 40-1 somewhere, and am kicking myself for not throwing ten bucks down on him.





"I'm sorry, I didn't think I was going to talk about 'man on dog' with a United States Senator. It's sort of freaking me out."


Associated Press interview with Senator Rick Santorum (R-PA), 04-07-2003.
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CRZ
Big Brother
Administrator








Since: 9.12.01
From: ミネアポリス

Since last post: 1 day
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#2 Posted on | Instant Rating: 8.65

    Originally posted by MoeGates
    I saw McClintock at 40-1 somewhere, and am kicking myself for not throwing ten bucks down on him.


Geez, give ME the ten bucks.

Although...maybe THIS could be a way for California to balance the budget! A few strategic bets here and there and the coffers could be replenished. ;-)



CRZ™
MoeGates
Andouille








Since: 6.1.02
From: Brooklyn, NY

Since last post: 5 days
Last activity: 1 day
#3 Posted on | Instant Rating: 6.28
You really want to cover me for 10 bucks on McClintock at 40-1? I'm in.



"I'm sorry, I didn't think I was going to talk about 'man on dog' with a United States Senator. It's sort of freaking me out."


Associated Press interview with Senator Rick Santorum (R-PA), 04-07-2003.
Michrome
Head cheese








Since: 2.1.03

Since last post: 3747 days
Last activity: 2813 days
#4 Posted on | Instant Rating: 0.00
I'm considering throwing 25 or so in on Mcclintock, hah. If there are any debates, I think he'll smoke everyone. Anyone that has heard the guy speak knows how intelligent he is, and if Bill Simon drops, he may have a chance.
CRZ
Big Brother
Administrator








Since: 9.12.01
From: ミネアポリス

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#5 Posted on | Instant Rating: 8.65

    Originally posted by Michrome
    I'm considering throwing 25 or so in on Mcclintock, hah. If there are any debates, I think he'll smoke everyone. Anyone that has heard the guy speak knows how intelligent he is, and if Bill Simon drops, he may have a chance.
Geez, I can almost excuse Moe for his ignorance because he's nowhere NEAR California, but Michrome...I really thought you'd know better.

IF Simon drops (highly unlikely) AND all his support decides to go to McClintock (also unlikely), they STILL wouldn't be able to BEAT Schwarzenegger. Best case is they make it a close race, but they can't get more.

Check the PDF of the Field poll (field.com) (or Google's HTML version (216.239.37.104) - now granted, these numbers are almost a week old (so hopefully we'll get something new...tomorrow?) but this is clearly a two person race and that's how the media is going to cover it. Supporting any other candidate to win is throwing your money away. Even *Davis* is a losing proposition - I won't say "sure thing" yet but I AM sure enough that I have no problems publicly saying I'll miss ol' Fuzzy for the two weeks after the election. ;-)

The numbers just don't work. I know after 2000 we're all supposed to be suspicious about polls and all, but we're way past the margin of error here.

Bustamante     25%
Schwarzenegger 23
McClintock 9
Simon 8
Ueberroth 5
Huffington 4
Camejo (G) 2
Flynt 1
All Others 5
None 5
Undecided 14


Support amongst Republicans/Democrats/All others:
Schwarzenegger 36 / 9 / 27
McClintock 19 / 2 / 3
Simon 17 / 2 / 1

Undecided 16 / 26 / 21

Bustamante 4 / 48 / 14
margin of error: +/- 5.0%
from Field Poll, 16.8.3




©CRZ
Grimis
Scrapple








Since: 11.7.02
From: MD

Since last post: 1184 days
Last activity: 981 days
#6 Posted on | Instant Rating: 7.29
Another new poll(as reporterd by the press, without numbers) has Arnie up 23-18. Unfortunately this looks like an AP story without as much as the margin of error in the story. Be nice to see the real numbers.

On a different note, this pic cracks me up.





"Each time I've met Huffington, I wondered if she was not somehow the long-lost daughter of Madame Nicolai Ceaucescu, or a genetic cross between Martha Stewart and Count Dracula. Had this Greek-born harpy lived in medieval times, she would have been sewn up in a bag with a rooster and two snakes and thrown into the nearest river."
-- Eric Margolis, Toronto Star
CRZ
Big Brother
Administrator








Since: 9.12.01
From: ミネアポリス

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#7 Posted on | Instant Rating: 8.65
    Originally posted by CRZ
    IF Simon drops (highly unlikely)
Well, I'm wrong again. Click Here (ktvu.com)

McClintock, however, said he would accept Schwarzenegger's endorsement in the Oct. 7 election.

"If the most qualified candidate must defer every time a celebrity or a millionaire casts a longing eye on public office, well then we've lost something very important in our democracy, and it's called merit," McClintock told CNN.


Geez, especially clueful AND helpful.

(edited by CRZ on 23.8.03 1116)


CRZ
DMC
Liverwurst








Since: 8.1.02
From: Modesto, CA

Since last post: 3390 days
Last activity: 3384 days
#8 Posted on
Grimis, I love your sig. Huffington is crazy but she reminds me of this hot Greek chick at my work, so she can't be all that bad (right?).

I agree that this may be a hard bet to make. Right now I don't see how Arnold could lose, but if whatever Republican base that might exist out here decides to rally around someone else, it could make things interesting. But then again you will probably have a lot of Democratic voters going for Arnold. Who knows? All I know is that I'm glad I registered.

DMC





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Well, that's that. Click Here (msnbc.msn.com) I don't really hold anything against the guy. I would be pissed if he sniped someone I knew, but I think I'd be alright being random guy # whatever if he did clip me. Why not, there are worse ways to go.
- BigDaddyLoco, D.C. Sniper Executed (2009)
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