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22.11.17 1037
The W - Current Events & Politics - So, What Will Happen?
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DrDirt
Banger








Since: 8.10.03
From: flyover country

Since last post: 28 days
Last activity: 2 hours
#1 Posted on | Instant Rating: 9.59
There are always prediction threads under Wrestling so how about here. Questions for a prediction.
1. Who secures enough electoral votes to win the Presidency and how close is it?
2. Who wins the popular vote?
3. Which party ends up controlling the Senate?
4. What happens to the House?

I ask because really I'm not sure. I think the GOP keeps the House. The Senate is a toss up. I can see Clinton winning the electoral vote and either being dead even with Trump on the popular vote. I can also see Trump winning barely. I am waiting to see what is rolled out today.



Perception is reality
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Sec19Row53
Lap cheong








Since: 2.1.02
From: Oconomowoc, WI

Since last post: 36 days
Last activity: 23 hours
#2 Posted on | Instant Rating: 6.29
1 - Clinton
2 - Clinton, but closer than the electoral vote
3 - Republicans
4 - Republicans

My biggest hope in all of this is that we end up getting some 'cross-aisle' friendships built as nearly everyone will realize that this was a horrible election season, and that we're better off if we try to work together instead of working against each other.

Yeah, I realize that's pretty rose-colored glasses of me.

(edited by Sec19Row53 on 4.11.16 0810)


Co-champ 2016 The-W Football Survivor Pool
drjayphd
Scrapple
Moderator








Since: 22.4.02
From: Outside of Boston

Since last post: 66 days
Last activity: 5 days
AIM:  
ICQ:  
#3 Posted on | Instant Rating: 6.54
1. Clinton in a closer race than it should be. The Democrats just have too many electoral votes locked up due to demographics.
2. Clinton, again, in a surprisingly close vote.
3. Democrats, but only by about 3-4 seats, so more of the same.
4. Republicans hang on here, so again, more of the same.

BONUS EXTENDED 12" MIX PREDICTION: No third party candidate cracks 5%. Gary Johnson comes the closest, but the two-party system remains intact.

I'd love it if both parties sat down and made the hard decisions to retake their direction from the radical fringe elements, but I don't see that happening any time soon. They're both incentivized to tee off on the other. Maybe we can at least see them trying to build up their farm teams so we get candidates people can vote for, instead of the least worst option that survives the primary meat grinder.



You wanted the best, you got... the Out of Context Quote of the Week.

"And this has been your Comfortable with his Sexuality Update." (Stefonics)

Canard
Cotechino








Since: 25.7.05
From: England

Since last post: 379 days
Last activity: 10 days
#4 Posted on | Instant Rating: 10.00
As a Brit who studied American Politics at school (admittedly 22 years ago), I've always been interested in your elections way more than my own, so I'll give this a go.

Presidentially:
1) Clinton to get low 300's in Electoral College - significantly less than either of Obama's wins however.
2) Clinton to win popular vote by 2.5 to 3%. I don't think the FBI e-mails will have as much affect on the result as many others do.

However, down ballot is where I think the Republicans will do way better than expected.

3) I can see it being a tied Senate (Kaine with casting vote) or if not, a 1 seat majority for the Republicans.
4) Reps to lose hardly any seats in the House and so still have a comfortable majority.

Given that, the answer to the overarching question "So, What Will Happen?" is obvious: Four more years of gridlock. Sorry to say it, but two parties further apart than ever and no matter who wins, a President immediately unpopular with probably 60% of the country (I'm making the assumption that at least 10% of both Democrats and Republicans are just voting for their party despite actively disliking their candidate) - it's going to be hard to get anything done quickly.
pieman
As young as
he feels








Since: 11.12.01
From: China, Maine

Since last post: 1 hour
Last activity: 1 hour
AIM:  
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#5 Posted on | Instant Rating: 7.65


    Originally posted by Sec19Row53


    My biggest hope in all of this is that we end up getting some 'cross-aisle' friendships built as nearly everyone will realize that this was a horrible election season, and that we're better off if we try to work together instead of working against each other.

    Yeah, I realize that's pretty rose-colored glasses of me.




      I really hope you're right, Paul.



Zeruel
Thirty Millionth Hit
Moderator








Since: 2.1.02
From: The Silver Spring in the Land of Mary.

Since last post: 188 days
Last activity: 130 days
#6 Posted on | Instant Rating: 6.68
Canard -- That is pretty much how I feel




-- 2006 Time magazine Person of the Year --




-- July 2009 Ordained Reverend --
David Adams
Kishke








Since: 2.1.02
From: NJ

Since last post: 217 days
Last activity: 1 day
AIM:  
#7 Posted on
Missed you Doc.

1 - Clinton, with about 322 electoral votes
2 - Clinton again by about 4%
3 - 50/50 split
4 - House stays with the Republicans until 2020 at a minimum
lotjx
Scrapple








Since: 5.9.08

Since last post: 1 day
Last activity: 2 hours
#8 Posted on | Instant Rating: 1.40
1. Trump. He gets 280. PA and North Carolina go via a slim margin.
2. Clintion. The West and East Coast population will get her to 50%.
3. Gop will have 53.
4. House will stay Red.

God help us allow.



http://comicbookspotlight.wordpress.com/



Now previewing the Fall TV lineup.@realjoecarfley
PowerPB13
Landjager








Since: 25.4.02
From: Belleville, IL USA

Since last post: 10 hours
Last activity: 1 hour
AIM:  
#9 Posted on | Instant Rating: 3.64
Voted, didn't get shot. Calling that a win for the day.



-PB


RIP My Friend Mark, 1991-2016
StaggerLee
Scrapple








Since: 3.10.02
From: Right side of the tracks

Since last post: 7 days
Last activity: 2 days
#10 Posted on | Instant Rating: 1.63
It is honestly too close to call at this point. I think the polls are a bit slanted, plus there's a LOT of people who will vote for Trump that will not admit to it publicly.

I think the Senate stays barely in the hands of the GOP, and I think the House stays firmly GOP.

Either way, we all lose.
RYDER FAKIN
Six Degrees of Me








Since: 21.2.02
From: ORLANDO

Since last post: 378 days
Last activity: 32 days
AIM:  
#11 Posted on | Instant Rating: 6.98
So I wrote in Hogan and this is what I get

Click Here (yahoo.com)

I sure as hell can't cough up my vote for Hillary or Trump. The fact that Trump, an (alleged) billionaire asks people to donate money and Hillary takes money from the Saudis kinda tells a story...I've known a lot of cons in my life, but nothing like this

If he still has my number GURU should call and ask me why he didn't bet when he had the chance. I'll tell him. They had Trump beat when he decided to be somebody and there ain't nothing left for him but to be relegated to the sidelines in abject ignominy

Hey Cubs - sweet win. Now trade Theo to the Dodgers. One is enough, lest we be like Boston. You never hear the end of it from that crowd

FLEA

oh God this guy is going to win. Don't ask me for money and don't cry to me when yer boy comes home in a box. Like 2007

In a Democracy, you get the kind of government you deserve

FLEA




(edited by RYDER FAKIN on 8.11.16 2329)

Demonstrations are a drag. Besides, we're much too high

















texasranger9
Potato korv








Since: 9.1.11

Since last post: 2 days
Last activity: 12 hours
#12 Posted on | Instant Rating: 5.07
Any chance there's a huge backlash 4 years from now? I just hope Donald doesn't erase everything good that has passed the last 8 years.


Oh, and the Canadian immigration website keeps crashing.

(edited by texasranger9 on 8.11.16 2304)
The Guinness.
Potato korv








Since: 24.4.05
From: San Diego, CA

Since last post: 75 days
Last activity: 23 hours
AIM:  
#13 Posted on | Instant Rating: 3.63
You got Swerved! Except for Lotjx. He pulled off one of the most accurate calls of the year. You get one a year buddy!
lotjx
Scrapple








Since: 5.9.08

Since last post: 1 day
Last activity: 2 hours
#14 Posted on | Instant Rating: 1.40
(deleted by lotjx on 9.11.16 0614)
lotjx
Scrapple








Since: 5.9.08

Since last post: 1 day
Last activity: 2 hours
#15 Posted on | Instant Rating: 1.40
    Originally posted by The Guinness.
    You got Swerved! Except for Lotjx. He pulled off one of the most accurate calls of the year. You get one a year buddy!


I didnt want to be right. I just know that once you appeal to a people's fear and vanity they tend to vote for you. The economy will crash by Christmas and unemployment will be at 20%. Russia and England will be our BFFs and we will nuke someone. I hope those predictions are wrong, but I doubt.



http://comicbookspotlight.wordpress.com/



Now previewing the Fall TV lineup.@realjoecarfley
Stefonics
Frankfurter








Since: 17.3.02
From: New Jerusalem

Since last post: 78 days
Last activity: 2 hours
#16 Posted on | Instant Rating: 6.15
Good job on the predictions lotjx. This election had less to do with Clinton, Trump, or Obama and a lot to do with people in general being tired of politicians as a whole. Roles reversed, had someone like, say, Jon Stewart ran, he would've beaten the traditional GOP candidate as well. I'm less frightened about Trump than I am about what this does to the Supreme Court. This one is on the liberal media, the liberal elite, the Clinton campaign, and the entire DNC. Own that shit and look for ways to change in 2 years, then again in 4.
Kevintripod
Banger








Since: 11.5.03
From: Mount Pleasant, Pa.

Since last post: 2 days
Last activity: 3 hours
AIM:  
#17 Posted on | Instant Rating: 7.07
This wasn't an election, it was an intervention.
PowerPB13
Landjager








Since: 25.4.02
From: Belleville, IL USA

Since last post: 10 hours
Last activity: 1 hour
AIM:  
#18 Posted on | Instant Rating: 3.64
#worldchoseevil



-PB


RIP My Friend Mark, 1991-2016
lotjx
Scrapple








Since: 5.9.08

Since last post: 1 day
Last activity: 2 hours
#19 Posted on | Instant Rating: 1.40
    Originally posted by Kevintripod
    This wasn't an election, it was an intervention.


Expect the people intervening is a group of power mad addicts.



http://comicbookspotlight.wordpress.com/



Now previewing the Fall TV lineup.@realjoecarfley
Sec19Row53
Lap cheong








Since: 2.1.02
From: Oconomowoc, WI

Since last post: 36 days
Last activity: 23 hours
#20 Posted on | Instant Rating: 6.29
    Originally posted by PowerPB13
    #worldchoseevil

Maybe the world chose to put a non-lifelong politician in instead of someone who has played the politics game her whole life. Throw the bums out might have happened at the highest level of US politics.



Co-champ 2016 The-W Football Survivor Pool
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There is still plenty wrong with the beef. I wonder if this whole situation will end up being good or bad PR in the long run. My guess is that most people who regularly eat at Taco Bell don't care either way as long as the food is tasty.
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