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The W - Baseball - San Diego Padres are for real (AKA - How I jinxed the Padres 2004 season)
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Guru Zim
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Since: 9.12.01
From: Bay City, OR

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#1 Posted on | Instant Rating: 8.81

San Diego2822.560-
Los Angeles 27 22.551 0.5
San Francisco2524.5102.5
Colorado1831 .3679.5
Arizona 18 32.360 10.0




Willful ignorance of science is not commendable. Refusing to learn the difference between a credible source and a shill is criminally stupid.
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Since: 24.7.02

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#2 Posted on | Instant Rating: 5.39
I picked them to win the West before the season, so I'm not shocked. Only concern I'd have is the Giants rising from the dead. And, while the Padres get a huge break playing Seattle interleague while the Dodgers are playing the Angels and the Giants get the A's, the Padres get stuck with the Yankees (I gave you the Sox starters for that series, looking ahead, barring changes, the Padres get Brown, Mussina, Vasquez in the weekend series) and Red Sox on the road, while the Giants get just the Red Sox, and the Dodgers get the Yankees at home while playing Boston on the road. The key for the Padres is they have the minor league players, but do they have the money/guts to fight it out with the big boys the last week of July when the fire sales are going on and the Beltran's, Carlos Delgado's etc. are on the market with the Dodgers looking to snag someone.



Considering Yogi Bear doesn't wake up until noon, yet gets every picnic basket that is in Jellystone Park, wouldn't it behoove Ranger Smith to advise those entering the park to consume the contents of said picnic baskets before noon?
Guru Zim
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Since: 9.12.01
From: Bay City, OR

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#3 Posted on | Instant Rating: 8.81
I'm just not sure that we need to snag anyone, right now. Our infield has been great so far. I'd like to see Vasquez back in the mix to give Khalil a night or two off, but so far things haven't gone wrong at the same time. We were lucky to get Cirillo back before Vasquez went down.

Wells and Peavey both hurt - that's not so good. Tankersly has been up and down over the last 2 seasons, though, so even our minor league guys have been up in the majors quite a bit.

Beck is now back with the team, so we have Otsuka, Beck, and Linebrink all leading up to Hoffman. Either Beck or Otsuka could step in and close if needed.

Jesse Orosco is no longer pitching for us

Klesko is down right now, but T. Long is filling in well. Kerry Robinson and Brian Buchannon are also pretty good as fill-ins.

Phil is a wild-card, but we have Cirillo back just in case. I really wish Phil would stop diving - he will reinjure his left shoulder this season, it's just a matter of time.

My biggest worries are losing Giles or Payton. Both have been dinged up in the past, but so far they both look good.

Khalil is making a good case for ROTY, in my books at least. Here's hoping we can stay in contention and keep the media focused on this team so he has a chance.

Ismael Valdez has me a bit worried though - his velocity seemed way off his last start. We still go the W, but he looks like he needs some rest.

Of course, now that I've said something (believe me, it's been hard to avoid it) I have now jinxed the team to lose 10-20 games straight.

For example, did you know that it was my acknowledgement of the 15 game win streak in 2000 that caused it to end?



Willful ignorance of science is not commendable. Refusing to learn the difference between a credible source and a shill is criminally stupid.
Eddie Famous
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Since: 11.12.01
From: Catlin IL

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#4 Posted on | Instant Rating: 6.44

    Originally posted by Guru Zim
    Ismael Valdez has me a bit worried though - his velocity seemed way off his last start. We still go the W, but he looks like he needs some rest.


Valdez lifetime stats: 259 starts, TWELVE complete games. Six of those in 1995.

He's always been a 5-6 inning starter...they haven't been overpitching him have they?




"In the sky. Lord, in the sky..."
PalpatineW
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Since: 2.1.02
From: Getting Rowdy

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#5 Posted on | Instant Rating: 9.00
    Originally posted by Guru Zim
    We were lucky to get Cirillo back


No, you weren't. He's Cirillo, fer Pete's sake. :)



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Since: 2.1.02
From: MD, USA

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#6 Posted on | Instant Rating: 6.41

Just imagine if they actually get Beltran.



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Since: 17.1.02
From: New F'n Jersey

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#7 Posted on | Instant Rating: 5.75
My dad and I are actually getting to have fun this season so far with him rooting for the Pads (he just HAS to root for whichever team he lives near) and me touting the Dodgers.

We would be having more fun if the Giants (who we both despise) weren't coming back from the early season doldrums.



Joe Wilson (looking at Interocitor manual)- Hey, here's something my wife could use in the house...
Crow T. Robot- A man?
Joe Wilson- An interocitor incorporating an electron sorter.
Cal Meechum- Oh, she'd probably gain 20 pounds while it did all the work for her.
Tom Servo- Cal, you bitch!

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Since: 11.12.01
From: Valparaiso, IN

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#8 Posted on | Instant Rating: 6.73
    Originally posted by Guru Zim
    Khalil is making a good case for ROTY, in my books at least. Here's hoping we can stay in contention and keep the media focused on this team so he has a chance.


He's hitting .263/.340/.389. "Disappointing" Kazuo Matsui, garnering no attention as a ROY candidate because he "sucks", is hitting .265/.348/.435. Matsui is crappier in the field. I don't even think Greene is the best rookie Padre. I'd go with Akinori Otsuka.

But Greene will have a good shot if they stay in contention because he's an everyday player at a tough position and will be perceived as having helped the team in ways other players didn't, or something. Dontrelle Willis wasn't a better pitcher than Brandon Webb last year, but his team was better, and there you go. Scott Podsednik had a better claim to ROY last year than Dontrelle.

There's also Matt Holliday to contend with, but his splits are weird and he's going to get dogged for playing in Colorado. If the Phillies end up using him in the rotation, Ryan Madson has a good shot too.

The Padres have a solid team, but they might need a deadline acquisition to win the division and help put some space between them and the Dodgers and the re-emerging Giants. It doesn't have to be anyone spectacular, they don't need to go out and get Beltran or Delgado necessarily, but someone like the Marlins got with Jeff Conine last year. Just another part. As far as pitching goes, they should stick with what's working, just as the Marlins did, and not try to bring in some grizzled veteran with big-game experience. They've already got David Wells eating all the ribs on the team buffet for that.

(edited by ScottChrist on 1.6.04 0735)


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Since: 3.1.02
From: SoCal 4 Life

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#9 Posted on | Instant Rating: 5.89
... If the Dodgers can get through an absolutely execrable month of May and still stand tied for first, they have a shot. They're banged up, though; Nomo's on the DL due to general suckiness, Beltre and Bradley are hurt, Shuey still hasn't returned, and Roberts isn't 100%. And Juan Encarnacion accelerates the aging process for all Dodger fans.

Jose Lima's wife has very large breasts, though.





Another Kareem owns the night, and the Lakers are back where they belong.

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Since: 9.12.01
From: Bay City, OR

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#10 Posted on | Instant Rating: 8.81
    Originally posted by ScottChrist
      Originally posted by Guru Zim
      Khalil is making a good case for ROTY, in my books at least. Here's hoping we can stay in contention and keep the media focused on this team so he has a chance.


    He's hitting .263/.340/.389. "Disappointing" Kazuo Matsui, garnering no attention as a ROY candidate because he "sucks", is hitting .265/.348/.435. Matsui is crappier in the field. I don't even think Greene is the best rookie Padre. I'd go with Akinori Otsuka.

    But Greene will have a good shot if they stay in contention because he's an everyday player at a tough position and will be perceived as having helped the team in ways other players didn't, or something. Dontrelle Willis wasn't a better pitcher than Brandon Webb last year, but his team was better, and there you go. Scott Podsednik had a better claim to ROY last year than Dontrelle.

    There's also Matt Holliday to contend with, but his splits are weird and he's going to get dogged for playing in Colorado. If the Phillies end up using him in the rotation, Ryan Madson has a good shot too.

    The Padres have a solid team, but they might need a deadline acquisition to win the division and help put some space between them and the Dodgers and the re-emerging Giants. It doesn't have to be anyone spectacular, they don't need to go out and get Beltran or Delgado necessarily, but someone like the Marlins got with Jeff Conine last year. Just another part. As far as pitching goes, they should stick with what's working, just as the Marlins did, and not try to bring in some grizzled veteran with big-game experience. They've already got David Wells eating all the ribs on the team buffet for that.

    (edited by ScottChrist on 1.6.04 0735)



Aki is great - don't get me wrong. The case for Khalis is defensive, though. The Padres are second the the Cardinals in double plays this season. Khalil is a defensive force at shortstop, and until recently (aka: after he got Rookie of the Month) was hitting well. His average has dropped in the last few weeks.

Maybe it's just been a while since I've watched a good shortstop play - but there have been games where I've seen him take 3-4 hits away from the other team on amazing defensive plays. You may not be seeing them, because generally our games only get covered on the late night Sportscenter or the early morning one.



Willful ignorance of science is not commendable. Refusing to learn the difference between a credible source and a shill is criminally stupid.
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I'm a die hard Mets fan (1984) but its time for the man to go. I was at the game Sunday and the moment he walked on the field the stadium groaned. I don't care what the numbers say, the man does NOT inspire confidence at all.
- The Masked Hungarian, Armando Benitez (2003)
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