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30.10.14 1814
The W - Football - Playoff seeding after week 12
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Zeruel
Thirty Millionth Hit
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Since: 2.1.02
From: The Silver Spring in the Land of Mary.

Since last post: 2 days
Last activity: 1 hour
#1 Posted on | Instant Rating: 4.05
Sorry for the tardiness. I've been working on memorizing the passing tree, how to breakdown a simple play call, running play hole numbering system, and the defensive technique numbering system, and trying to bang out my NCAA rankings. Also, the rule differences between the AIFA, Arena league, and NFL. Like how the AIFA doesn't use the rebound nets, and if a pass hits the walls (except for the top), it's live and in play but if a runner touches the boards, they're out of bounds.

All teams below the +++ are eliminated from the playoffs


AFC
1. Tennessee (10-1) *South leader, Will win the div with win AND Ind loss
2. Pittsburgh (8-3) *North leader, Beat NYJ on Conf record (7-1)

3. NY Jets (8-3) *East leader, Lost to Pit on Conf record (6-3)
4. Denver (6-5) *West leader
5. Indianapolis (7-4) Beat both Bal and NE.
6. Baltimore (7-4) Beat Ind on Conf record (6-3)

7. New England (7-4) Lost to Bal on Conf record (5-4)
8. Miami (6-5) Beat Buf
9. Buffalo (6-5) Lost to Mia
10. San Diego (4-7) Beat Cle and Jac on Conf record (4-5)
11. Cleveland (4-7) Lost to SD on Conf record (3-5), beat Jac

12. Jacksonville (4-7) Lost to SD on Conf record (3-6), lost to Cle, beat Hou
13. Houston (4-7) Lost to Jac
14. Oakland (3-8)
+++
15. Cincinnati (1-9-1)
16. Kansas City (1-10)

1st round bye: #1 Tennessee (10-1), #2 Pittsburgh (8-3)
Wildcard: #6 Baltimore (7-4) @ #3 NY Jets (8-3), #5 Indianapolis (7-4) @ #4 Denver (6-5)


NFC
1. NY Giants (10-1) *East leader, will win the div with win AND Dal loss.
2. Tampa Bay (8-3) *South leader, beat Car

3. Arizona (7-4) *West leader, will win the div with win or SF loss
4. Chicago (6-5) *North leader, beat Min
5. Carolina (8-3) lost to TB
6. Washington (7-4) Split HTH with Dal, beat Dal & Atl on Conf record (6-3)

7. Atlanta (7-4) Lost to Was & beat Dal on Conf record (5-3)
8. Dallas (7-4) Split HTH with Was, lost to Was & Atl on Conf record (5-4)
9. Minnesota (6-5) Beat NO
10. New Orleans (6-5) Lost to Min
11. Philadelphia (5-5-1)

12. Green Bay (5-6)
13. San Francisco (3-8)
+++
14. Seattle (2-9) Beat Stl
15. St. Louis (2-9) Lost to Sea
16. Detroit (0-11)

1st round bye: #1 NY Giants (10-1), #2 Tampa Bay (8-3)
Wildcard: #6 Washington (7-4) @ #3 Arizona (7-4), #5 Carolina (8-3) @ #4 Chicago (6-5)

---
The NFC is 22-19-1 (0.536) vs the AFC

Division strength by out of division record:

NFC East 22-7-1 (0.750)
NFC South 22-8 (0.733)
AFC East 19-9 (0.679)
AFC South 17-11 (0.607)

AFC North 12-15-1 (0.429)
NFC North 9-19 (0.321)
AFC West 7-23 (0.233)
NFC West 6-22 (0.214)



-- 2006 Time magazine Person of the Year --

"...Oh, the band is out on the field!! He's gonna go into the end zone! He's gone into the end zone!!
-- Joe Starkey -- November 20, 1982 -- The Play --
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Psycho Penguin
Liverwurst








Since: 24.6.07
From: Greenacres FL

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#2 Posted on | Instant Rating: 0.28
Seattle can't win the division if they win out and Arizona loses out? I thought they still had to play again.

You can add St. Louis to my above question. I know Arizona still needs to play one or both of them.

Also, looks like Indianapolis is in great shape. I forgot they beat both Baltimore AND New England, and it looks like JAX/SD are crapping the bed this year.

(edited by Psycho Penguin on 27.11.08 1332)


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Zeruel
Thirty Millionth Hit
Moderator








Since: 2.1.02
From: The Silver Spring in the Land of Mary.

Since last post: 2 days
Last activity: 1 hour
#3 Posted on | Instant Rating: 4.05
    Originally posted by Psycho Penguin
    Seattle can't win the division if they win out and Arizona loses out? I thought they still had to play again.


I give them about a 1.5% chance because I don't have the proper data for games that haven't been played yet.
Assume, Arizona loses out, Seattle wins out.
They both finish 7-9 and split the head to head.
They both finish with 4-2 div record
They both finish with 5-6 in common games
They both finish with 5-7 conference record.
What it comes down to is Strength of Victory. If I had to use today's records, Seattle would get the nod with a 36-41 vs 29-48 record. But those wouldn't be the final records. There are about 25 games unaccounted for (5 games each for the final 5 teams they play).

It could go either way but Arizona would have to lose to Phi, Stl, Min, NE, and Seattle. Seattle would also have to beat Dal, NE, Stl, NYJ, and Arizona. Assuming all wins/losses were coin flips, Seattle has a 1/64 chance, if I did my math right. Even if it works in Seattle's favor, they still need all the teams they beat, except Arizona, to win out to get the better SoV.


    You can add St. Louis to my above question. I know Arizona still needs to play one or both of them.


Stl has a 0% chance. Arizona is 4-0 in the division, St. Louis is 0-3. After splitting the head to head, if Stl wins their next meetup, the next tiebreaker is division record. Arizona can finish no worse than 4-2, and Stl can finish no better than 3-3.



(edited by Zeruel on 27.11.08 1550)


-- 2006 Time magazine Person of the Year --

"...Oh, the band is out on the field!! He's gonna go into the end zone! He's gone into the end zone!!
-- Joe Starkey -- November 20, 1982 -- The Play --
odessasteps
Scrapple








Since: 2.1.02
From: MD, USA

Since last post: 135 days
Last activity: 102 days
#4 Posted on | Instant Rating: 7.22

Based on the score of today's game, that may be a moot argument.



Mark Coale
Odessa Steps Magazine
The Affirmation, Baby Blog
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Sounds like the Titans are going to cut Eddie George. Jeremiah Trotter may also hit the market. I would be surprised if we didn't find some unexpected names on that list, they always pop up from year to year.
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