Surprised the 49'ers are as low as 31. They'll probably be bad, but not that bad. Panthers, Rams and the Pack could all be a bit higher, Dolphins, Falcons and Titans lower. Thought the Skins might have shifted up a bit higher given the money they've thrown about, but they were pants last year so I guess 18's about right.
No glaring 'what the fuck's?' though, although I fancy the Jets to improve this year.
Geez, I'd like to think the Brownies are better than the Bears and maybe the Saints. Not sure who else to pick out of the pack, but I'd like to think they are at least good enough for a middle-of-the-pack rating.
Actually, the more I think about it the NFL's parity makes rankings like this useless. Really, how do you differentiate between a bunch of teams that could all reasonably be picked to finish 8-8?
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You look at their schedual, and what division they are in. Really, sitting in the NFC West can give you an extra two wins (Seahawks/Rams) while being in the AFC North means anybody can take those games. If all depends on how you look at the power rankings. It seems to me that it should rank "Which of these teams is most likely to be able to beat any of these other teams on any given sunday" combined with, "Which of these teams will make their ass-kicking abilites last down the stretch and go to the Super Bowl?"
Comparing the Falcons' and the Panthers' scheduals, Atlanta has the easier road. So while I don't think the Falcons are the better team, they have a better chance of going all the way.
BTW, I think the Browns are better than the Jets/Giants/Steelers/Bears. Of course, I also believe the Cardinals could go 7-9, so what do I know?
The Seahawks definately should be lower on that list. And how are the Chiefs so high? I know that they were something like 13-3 last year, but it would seem that this list would take into account the fact that they didn't have any defense, and no team is in the top 5 with no defense. I think that the Giants are the most underrated team on the list. They might not make the playoffs, but with two new QBs, they're definately better than being one of the bottom 4 teams in the league, especially being in the weaker NFC.
Originally posted by BigSteve... I think that the Giants are the most underrated team on the list. They might not make the playoffs, but with two new QBs, they're definately better than being one of the bottom 4 teams in the league, especially being in the weaker NFC.
Maybe, but the Giants are in arguably the toughest division in the NFC. They open the season at Philadelphia, have Washington and Cleveland at home, then Green Bay and Dallas on the road before their first bye ( source (sports.espn.go.com)). Not an easy-looking schedule by any stretch of the imagination.
There's also a lot of question marks all over the roster, specifically: QB (Manning or Warner); RB (Barber or the newly svelte-ish Dayne); TE (a healthy Shockey?); O-line; and a sizeable chunk of the defense (see Offseason Moves (sports.espn.go.com)). Then again, there's a new head coach, so this may all be moot. On paper, at least, it looks like another year of rebuilding. >_<
Are the 49'ers really going to fall that badly this year. The more I think of it, I think it actually might be a possibility... Are the Bills going to be in the lower third, I said they would win the division last year and I was totally made to look the fool, they are going to have to show themselves this year. But if Bledsoe has any talent left they should be middle of the pack team. Speaking of the AFC East, Dolphins minus Ricky equals major dropoff.
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Oh, shit. Somehow the Brownies didn't get moved. I guess that's the problem with cutting and pasting. Throw the Browns in at 20, and move the Bears and everyone else down a slot. With the Dolphins out, the battle for second place in the AFC East makes the Jets look better, so I stand corrected.
I don't know if any matchup since has changed this, but up to the Bucs/Raiders Super Bowl, there had been nine matchups of a top three defense vs a top three offense, and the top three defense had won every time.