Oil will shoot up past $120 soon, but that also is because the 'brilliant' recent moves of the Federal Reserve have the dollar rapidly moving towards toilet paper territory. With Chavez moving a chunk of his troops towards the Colombian border, does that leave him vulnerable to another 2002 style coup attempt? His haste to prove himself as a big man could open a crack that a quick moving operation could exploit.
But consider for a moment, either Obama or Hillary will get the nomination. Kerry is what they aren't, the traditional white guy politician. And he has some cred with the tradtional base and is viewed as the crusader for the downtrodden.