Oil will shoot up past $120 soon, but that also is because the 'brilliant' recent moves of the Federal Reserve have the dollar rapidly moving towards toilet paper territory. With Chavez moving a chunk of his troops towards the Colombian border, does that leave him vulnerable to another 2002 style coup attempt? His haste to prove himself as a big man could open a crack that a quick moving operation could exploit.
See, last time Bush neither told the public, nor prevented the attack. If the government didn't tell the public about attacks they suspected were coming but instead used their (hopefully improved) intelligence to prevent it, I would applaud them.