Oil will shoot up past $120 soon, but that also is because the 'brilliant' recent moves of the Federal Reserve have the dollar rapidly moving towards toilet paper territory. With Chavez moving a chunk of his troops towards the Colombian border, does that leave him vulnerable to another 2002 style coup attempt? His haste to prove himself as a big man could open a crack that a quick moving operation could exploit.
One potential problem would be a Senator or Representative who was captured and became a POW. It's bad enough for anyone to become a POW, but it would be especially bad for a highly visible politician.