Lesnar. You don't bring a guy in and make him the focus of your programming just to job him in his first match.
Punk. I predicted Jericho to win at Mania, and I suppose my logic still applies, but I don't see why they wouldn't have done it there is they were going to do it.
Sheamus. Having Sheamus lose here would make his whole title reign completely counterproductive. But with the 3 falls they should be able to make him look stronger while still making Bryan look good.
Orton. Someone was mad at Orton, so he lost at Mania, but then he wins the next two matches. Kane isn't helped, Orton isn't helped, Orton also doesn't feel punished. It's win-win, except the opposite.
Beth. All the possible explanations I can come up with for Nikki's win (they thought Beth was hurt legit and called an audible? they couldn't let the Bellas leave with one having had a title reign and the other not? someone didn't want Beth to have the longest Divas reign? they wanted to add a title switch to tonight's show?) lead to Beth winning here.
Show. Again, if they were going to do the switch, why not at Mania?
Santino. They don't seem inclined to do anything good with the Miz.
Haven't been watching, so I have no idea how pregnant she looks, but is it possible they're getting out of this by revealing she's not really pregnant? No one smokes on TV (outside of period pieces), that read to me more like a clue than a screw up.