So as of now with over half of the absentee ballots counted, Mark Begich has pulled into a whopping three vote lead (elect.alaska.net) over Ted Stevens. According to Nate Silver at fivethirtyeight.com the remaining ballots appear to be from pro-Begich areas. This one is shaping up to be very tight though.
This is crazy. With this, the Coleman/Franken recount and the runoff in Georgia, the Democrats could end up with 60 yet (including Liberman and Sanders, of course). Seems from my outside perspective that the runoff in Georgia will go to the Republican incumbent, but who knows.
I don't know if this should go in the same thread as the Minnesota Senate race, or here, but The Associated Press has called the Senate race in Alaska for Democrat Mark Begich. Begich now leads by 3,724 votes with 2,500 overseas votes remaining. If the lead stays the same, that would be a high enough percentage to avoid an automatic recount, though Stevens can still ask for a recount if he's willing to pay the state the $15,000 that a recount is expected to cost.
Begich is the first Democratic Senator from Alaska since Mike Gravel, who served from 1969 to 1981.
I guess there had to be some sort of statistical aberration with the September Maryland poll, as Kerry went from double digits up to tied to double digits up. That is especially interesting since all the other polls at least have a rhyme and reason.