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The 7 - Football - Week 16 Playoff Seedings & Draft order
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Zeruel
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#1 Posted on 28.12.04 1841.05
Reposted on: 28.12.11 1842.01
For the non-playoff teams, I'm using the Wild Card tie-breakers. Why? Because I'm calculating how far back they're from the #6 seed.
1. Apply division tie breaker to eliminate all but the highest ranked club in each division prior to proceeding to step 2.
The original seeding within a division upon application of the division tie breaker remains the same for all subsequent applications of the procedure that are necessary to identify the three Wild-Card participants.
2. Head-to-head sweep. (Applicable only if one club has defeated each of the others or if one club has lost to each of the others.)
3. Best won-lost-tied percentage in games played within the conference.
4. Best won-lost-tied percentage in common games, minimum of four.
5. Strength of victory.
6. Strength of schedule.

I have added markers for teams eliminated from playoffs. Uppercase omega, Ω, for teams out of the playoffs, lower case omega, ω, for teams that have been eliminated from their divisional title, but still alive for a wildcard spot.

x-Clinched Wildcard spot
y-Clinched Divisional title
z-Clinched Homefield advantage
*-Clinched 1st round bye

ω-Eliminated from divisional title contention
Ω-Eliminated from playoff contention

AFC
1. Z-Pittsburgh Steelers 14-1 (Beat NE) AFC North Champion
2. *y-New England Patriots 13-2 (10-2 in AFC) AFC East Champion
3. y-Indianapolis Colts 12-3 (8-3 in AFC) AFC South Champion
4. y-San Diego Chargers 11-4 (8-3 in AFC) AFC West Champion
5. ω-New York Jets 10-5 (7-5 in AFC) Wildcard *A win or a loss by either Denver or Buffalo or both will secure the wildcard
6. ω-Denver Broncos 9-6 (6-5 in AFC; beat Buffalo on AFC record) (wildcard)


7. ω-Buffalo Bills 9-6 (5-6 in AFC) (0 GB)

8. ω-Jacksonville Jaguars 8-7 (5-6 in AFC; , Beat Baltimore on SoV (0.508)) (1 GB)
9. ω-Baltimore Ravens 8-7 (5-6 in AFC, lost to Jacksonville on SoV (0.492)) (1 GB)

10. Ω-Houston Texans 7-8 (6-5 in AFC, beat Cincinnati on AFC record, beat KC) (2 GB)
11. Ω-Kansas City Chiefs 7-8 (6-5 in AFC) (lost to Houston) (2 GB)
12. Ω-Cincinnati Bengals 7-8 (4-8 in AFC) (2 GB)

13. Ω-Oakland Raiders 5-10 (3-8 in AFC)
14. Ω-Tennessee Titans 4-11 (3-9 in AFC)
15. Ω-Miami Dolphins 4-11 (2-9 in AFC)
16. Ω-Cleveland Browns 3-12 (2-9 in AFC)

Wildcard Weekend
#6 Broncos @ #3 Colts
#5 Jets @ #4 Chargers
Divisional games
#3 Colts or Winner of Jets-Chargers @ #2 Patriots
Winner of Jets-Chargers or #6 Broncos @ #1 Steelers

x-Clinched Wildcard spot
y-Clinched Divisional title
z-Clinched Homefield advantage & 1st round bye
*-Clinched 1st round bye

ω-Eliminated from divisional title contention
Ω-Eliminated from playoff contention

NFC
1. z-Philadelphia Eagles 13-2 NFC East Champion
2. *y-Atlanta Falcons 11-4 NFC South Champion
3. y-Green Bay Packers 9-6 (8-3 in NFC) NFC North Leader
4. x-Seattle Seahawks 8-7 (7-4 in NFC, Lost to Rams twice; beat Minnesota & Carolina; will have a better NFC record than NO) NFC West Leader
5. Minnesota Vikings 8-7 (5-6 in NFC, swept by GB) Wildcard
6. ω-Carolina Panthers 7-8 (Beat TB, NO, St. Louis; 6-5 in NFC) Wildcard


7. ω-New Orleans Saints 7-8 (5-6 in NFC, Beat St. Louis) (0 GB)
8. St. Louis Rams 7-8 (7-5 in NFC; lost to Carolina, NO) (0 GB)

9. Ω-Dallas Cowboys 6-9 (5-6 in NFC) (beat Detroit) (1 GB)
10. Ω-Detroit Lions 6-9 (5-7 in NFC) (lost to Detroit) (1 GB)

11. Ω-Washington Redskins 5-10 (5-6 in NFC) (Split series with NYG, beat them on NFC Record; beat TB, Chicago, Arizona, on NFC Record) (2 GB)
12. Ω-Tampa Bay Buccaneers 5-10 (4-7 in NFC) (Beat Chicago, NYG and Arizona on SoV (0.427)) (2 GB)
13. Ω-Arizona Cardinals 5-10 (4-7 in NFC) (lost to Washington on NFC record; lost to TB on SoV (0.413) Beat NYG) (2 GB)
14. Ω-Chicago Bears 5-10 (4-7 in NFC) (Lost to Washington on NFC record; lost to TB and Arizona on SoV (0.373); Beat NYG) (2 GB)
15. Ω-New York Giants 5-10 (4-7 in NFC) (Split series with Washington, lost to them on NFC record; lost to TB on SoV (0.413); lost to Arizona and Chicago) (2 GB)

16. Ω-San Francisco 49ers 2-13

Wildcard Weekend
#6 Carolina @ #3 Packers
#5 Vikings @ #4 Seahawks
Divisional games
#3 Packers or Winner of Vikings-Seahawks @ #2 Falcons
Winner of Vikings-Seahawks or #6 Carolina @ #1 Eagles

*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*
The AFC is 41-19 against the NFC

Draft order
Rank -- Team -- Record -- SoS *lower is "better"
1. San Francisco 2-13
2. Cleveland 3-12
3. Tennessee 4-11 .529
4. Miami 4-11 .547

5. Chicago 5-10 .462
6. Arizona 5-10 .471
7. Washington 5-10 .476
8. Tampa Bay 5-10 .484

9. NY Giants 5-10 .524
10. Oakland 5-10 .578
11. Detroit 6-9 .516 (5-7 in NFC)
12. Dallas 6-9 .516 (5-6 in NFC)

13. New Orleans 7-8 .476
14. St. Louis 7-8 .480
15. Cincinnati 7-8 .511
16. Houston 7-8 .524

17. Kansas City 7-8 .538
18. Baltimore 8-7 .569
19. Jacksonville 8-7 .551
20. Buffalo 9-6


21-32, playoff teams
Carolina 7-8 *NFC 6th seed
Denver 9-6 *AFC 6th seed

Minnesota 8-7 *NFC 5th seed
NY Jets 10-5 *AFC 5th seed

Seattle 8-7 *NFC 4th seed
San Diego 11-4 *AFC 3rd seed

Green Bay 9-6 *NFC 3rd seed
Indianapolis 12-3 *AFC 4th seed

Atlanta 11-4 *NFC 2nd seed
New England 13-2 2nd seed

Philadelphia 13-2 *NFC 1st seed
Pittsburgh 14-1 *AFC 1st seed
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JWstorm
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#2 Posted on 29.12.04 0656.18
Reposted on: 29.12.11 0657.42
So Carolina has to win next week to keep WildCard right????
Zeruel
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#3 Posted on 29.12.04 0715.15
Reposted on: 29.12.11 0715.17
    Originally posted by JWstorm
    So Carolina has to win next week to keep WildCard right????


They have to win, yes, but they need help.

One of the following has to happen:
St. Louis has to lose or tie the Jets; and a Carolina tie will be fine; or
Seattle has to lose or tie Atlanta (who want to play their starters); or
Minnesota has to lose to Washington (who has a top 3 D and are playing for pride to be one win more than last year)

IF St. Louis wins and Seattle loses, the Rams will win the West and take the 4th seed, Seattle will drop to 5th or 6th, as it would come to tie breakers to see which seeds Carolina and they would take. They'd have the same record and NFC records.

St. Louis is also pulling for Minnesota to lose.
IF the Rams win, they're in with a Skins win over the Vikings or the Carolina -- New Orleans game HAS to end in a tie.
Mayhem
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#4 Posted on 29.12.04 0802.14
Reposted on: 29.12.11 0802.16

Yes! ... 3rd in the draft order.
The Thrill
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#5 Posted on 29.12.04 0919.05
Reposted on: 29.12.11 0919.14
FYI...Green Bay is the NFC North champion, not leader.

3 in a row...sweet.
evilwaldo
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#6 Posted on 29.12.04 1341.21
Reposted on: 29.12.11 1353.11
You forgot to mention that the Giants do not own their first round pick next year. They gave that up in the Manning trade with San Diego.
Mayhem
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#7 Posted on 29.12.04 1433.47
Reposted on: 29.12.11 1434.53
    Originally posted by evilwaldo
    You forgot to mention that the Giants do not own their first round pick next year. They gave that up in the Manning trade with San Diego.


I could see a Mike Williams or Braylon Edwards here, provided that they're still around.

(edited by Mayhem on 29.12.04 1441)
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#8 Posted on 31.12.04 1735.02
Reposted on: 31.12.11 1736.27
    Originally posted by evilwaldo
    You forgot to mention that the Giants do not own their first round pick next year. They gave that up in the Manning trade with San Diego.
The San Diego Chargers are the next great football dynasty.
DrewDewce
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Y!:
#9 Posted on 3.1.05 1908.39
Reposted on: 3.1.12 1910.12
Draft order (1st 15 picks - According to NFL Network)

1. San Francisco
2. Miami
3. Cleveland
4. Chicago
5. Tampa Bay
6. Tennessee
7. Oakland
8. Arizona
9. Washington
10. Detroit
11. Dallas
12. San Diego
13. Houston
14. Carolina
15. Kansas City
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