The W
Views: 98924141
Main | FAQ | Search: Y! / G | Color chart | Log in for more!
16.9.07 0008
The 7 - Current Events & Politics - California Recall Prediction Thread Register and log in to post!
(1312 newer) Next thread | Previous thread
User
Post (2 total)
redsoxnation
Scrapple
Level: 152

Posts: 2923/7534
EXP: 43557454
For next: 744308

Since: 24.7.02

Since last post: 442 days
Last activity: 442 days
#1 Posted on 30.9.03 0904.27
Reposted on: 30.9.10 0905.18
Might as well give it the full RAW PPV treatment:

Gray Davis (c) vs. Recall (OlFuzzyBastard vs. CRZ in a loser leaves town for 2 weeks match): This has blowout written all over it. Its also more likely that with a rout apparent, the anti-Gray Davis'ites will be more willing to go to the polls to rub salt in the wounds than the marginal Davis supporters will be to vote for him in a lost cause. Recall 68-32.

Special Sideshow Match:

Gary Coleman vs. Arianna Huffington: Arianna was annoying as a Republican, she's annoying as whatever type populist she claims to be now. Any remnants of political relevance she has dissipates as Gary Coleman outpolls her 2%-1%.

Main Event

Arnold vs. Bustamante vs. McClintock vs. Green Party vs. Field: The larger the margin of victory for Recall, the worse the chances for Bustamante, as he gets the Carter in California in '80 treatment (Democrats don't bother turning out in large numbers). Although I still find it hard to see the two Republicans getting close to 60% of the vote, low Democratic turnout plus celebrity novelty somehow pulls it off: Arnold 36%, Bustamante 30%, McClintock 21%, Green Party 7%, Field 6%. Technically, the Green Party will toss the election to Arnold.

(edited by redsoxnation on 30.9.03 1006)
Promote this thread!
Grimis
Scrapple
Level: 124

Posts: 2225/4700
EXP: 21493608
For next: 343054

Since: 11.7.02
From: MD

Since last post: 1232 days
Last activity: 1029 days
#2 Posted on 30.9.03 0934.38
Reposted on: 30.9.10 0934.55
Davis vs Recall: This is a laugher. Davis will be recalled with a minimun 60 percent of the vote.

Coleman v Huffington: Coleman is a more realistic candidate than Huffington has been, which shows how bad she's been. Huffington, though has loyal followers; Coleman endorsed Arnold. Arianna beats Coleman, but doesn't get more than 3 percent total....but I hope Gallagher beats them both.

The Main Event: Nobody is going to crack 40 percent, and probably nobody will crack 35 either. Bustamante keeps tripping over his own feet(and getting no help from Davis either), while Arnold manages to dodge the McClintock landmine. McClintock, the guy California actually needs to win to get things moving, will be a distant but solid third. Camejo sounds more like a competent Democratic/liberal choice than Bustamante does, which is bad news for the Donkeys. Totals will be:

Schwarzeneggar: 34
Bustamante: 27
McClintock: 18
Camejo: 8
The Field: 13

Huffington will pace the field, with The Porno Express(Carey/Flynt) coming behind her in some order.
ALL ORIGINAL POSTS IN THIS THREAD ARE NOW AVAILABLE
Thread ahead: A little something I found on Bush
Next thread: For what it's worth...the latest Field poll
Previous thread: Scientists lied to Saddam about WMD?!?
(1312 newer) Next thread | Previous thread
Related threads: Sources: Miller for Senate in California? - CA GCOTD: 26 WRITE-INS - CNN/LA Times debate cancelled - More...
The 7 - Current Events & Politics - California Recall Prediction ThreadRegister and log in to post!

The W™ message board - 7 year recycle

ZimBoard
©2001-2014 Brothers Zim
This old hunk of junk rendered your page in 0.207 seconds.