NFC 1. z-Atlanta (12-2) South Champions 2. x-San Francisco (10-3-1) West leader
3. z-Green Bay (10-4) North Champions 4. Washington (8-6) NFC leader, beat Dallas and NY Giants 5. Seattle (9-5) 6. D-Minnesota (8-6) (6-5 NFC, 3-2 div) beat Chicago on div record, beat Dallas on NFC record
7. D-Chicago (8-6) (5-5 NFC, 2-3 div) lost to Minnesota on div record, beat Dallas 8. Dallas (8-6) (5-5 NFC, 3-2 div) lost to Minnesota on NFC record, lost to Chicago, beat NY Giants on div record 9. NY Giants (8-6) 10 D-St. Louis (6-7-1) 11 D-New Orleans (6-8) Beat Tampa Bay
12 *-Tampa Bay (6-8) 13 *-Carolina (5-9) (4-7 NFC) Beat Arizona on NFC record 14 *-Arizona (5-9) (3-7 NFC) lost to Carolina on NFC record 15 *-Detroit (4-10) Beat Philadelphia 16 *-Philadelphia (4-10) lost to Detroit
x - clinched playoff spot z - clinched division title D - eliminated from Divisional title W - eliminated from Wild Card spot * - eliminated from playoffs
Wildcard #6 Minnesota (8-6) @ #3 Green Bay (10-4) #5 Seattle (9-5) @ #4 Washington (8-6)
1st round bye #1 Atlanta (12-2) #2 San Francisco (10-3-1)
(If the playoffs expanded) Bye or #8 Dallas (8-6) @ #1 Atlanta (12-2) #5 Seattle (9-5) @ #4 Washington (8-6)
#6 Minnesota (8-6) @ #3 Green Bay (10-4) #7 Chicago (8-6) @ #2 San Francisco (10-3-1)
* Tampa Bay can not make the playoffs, could not pass Minnesota on NFC record (5-7 vs 6-6)
* New Orleans will be eliminated with a loss OR a win by any of (Minnesota, Chicago, Dallas, NY Giants) (They can still win on SoV vs Minnesota 43-69 (0.384) vs 44-66-2 (0.402) using current records. Teams they beat are (Ari, Car, Dal, Oak, Phi, SD, TB (twice)) and (Ari, Chi, Det (twice), Jax, SF, Stl, TN) Only common victory is Arizona.
NO would need 2 wins of: Car, Dal, Oak, Phi, SD (or one TB win as they count twice) more than wins from Chi, Det (they count twice), Jax, SF, STL, and TN). STL plays TB week 16.
* St. Louis will be eliminated with a loss
* Washington will clinch a playoff spot with a win AND NY Giants, Chicago, and Minnesota loss
* Seattle will clinch a wildcard spot with a win OR any 3 losses by (Minnesota, Chicago, Dallas, NY Giants)
* Atlanta will clinch a #1 seed with a win *******************************
AFC 1. Z-Houston (12-2) South Champions 2. z-Denver (11-3) West Champions
3. z-New England (10-4) East Champions 4. x-Baltimore (9-5) North leader 5. D-Indy (9-5) 6. Cincinnati (8-6)
7. Pittsburgh (7-7) 8. *-NY Jets (6-8) (4-6 AFC, 2-3 div) Beat Miami on div record 9. D-Miami (6-8) (4-6 AFC, 1-3 div) 10 *-Cleveland (5-9) (5-5 AFC) Beat San Diego, beat Buffalo and Tennessee on AFC record 11 *-San Diego (5-9) (5-5 AFC) Lost to Cleveland, Beat Buffalo and Tennessee on AFC record
12 *-Tennessee (5-9) (4-7 AFC) lost to Cleveland and San Diego on AFC record 13 *-Buffalo (5-9) (4-6 AFC) lost to Tennessee, lost to Cleveland and San Deigo on AFC record 14 *-Oakland (4-10) 15 *-Jacksonville (2-12) (2-8 AFC) Beat Kansas City on AFC record 16 *-Kansas City (2-12) (0-10 AFC) lost to Jacksonville on AFC record
x - clinched playoff spot z - clinched division title D - eliminated from Divisional title * - eliminated from playoffs
Wildcard #6 Cincinnati(8-6) @ #3 New England (10-4) #5 Indy (9-5) @ #4 Baltimore (9-5)
1st Round Bye #1 Houston (12-2) #2 Denver (11-3)
(If the playoffs were expanded) Bye or #8 NY Jets @ #1 Houston (12-2 #5 Indy (9-5) @ #4 Baltimore (9-5)
#6 Cincinnati(8-6) @ #3 New England (10-4) #7 Pittsburgh (7-7) @ #2 Houston (11-3)
* Miami is alive as #9, but Jets aren't as #8 due to tiebreaker quirk, see post below.
* Miami is eliminated with a loss OR Cincinnati Win
* Pittsburgh is eliminated with a loss to Cincinnati
* Cincinnati will clinch a playoffspot with a win over Pittsburgh
* Indy will clinch a wildcard spot with a win or Pittsburgh loss
* Houston will clinch a #1 seed with a win
* Denver will clinch a 1st round bye with a win AND New England loss (Denver lost to New England)
Division strength by out of division record 1. NFC North (20-16) 0.555 2. NFC West (21-17) 0.552 3. NFC South (19-17) 0.527 4. AFC North (20-18) 0.526
5t NFC East (19-19) 0.500 5t AFC South (18-18) 0.500 7. AFC East (18-20) 0.474 8. AFC West (12-24) 0.33
The NFC is (36-24) 0.600 vs the AFC
The Home team is (127-96-1) 0.569 vs the Away team
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-- 2006 Time magazine Person of the Year -- -- July 2009 Ordained Reverend --
* NY Jets and Miami are both eliminated with a loss OR Cincinnati Win
They're both already out. Best they can do is 8-8, and they'll lose tiebreakers. Even if Cincy-Pittsburgh ends in a tie this weekend, and the Jets win out, 8-7-1 will still beat 8-8. Same with Miami
* NY Jets and Miami are both eliminated with a loss OR Cincinnati Win
They're both already out. Best they can do is 8-8, and they'll lose tiebreakers. Even if Cincy-Pittsburgh ends in a tie this weekend, and the Jets win out, 8-7-1 will still beat 8-8. Same with Miami
Yes and no.
I was wrong about the Jets (they are out) but Miami is in, because of tie breakers. Scenario 1: Cin - loses to Pitt and Baltimore -- 8-8, 5-7, 2-4 Pitt - beats Cin, loses to Cleveland -- 8-8, 5-7, 3-3 NY Jets - Beats SD and beats Buffalo -- 8-8, 6-6, 3-3 Miami -- beats Buffalo and NE -- 8-8, 6-6, 3-3
Div tie breakers, Pitt beat Cin twice, NYJ and Miami tied for Div record so it goes to Common games. Jets are 6-6, Miami is 4-8. Pittsburgh beat the Jets, so Pittsburgh is #6 seed
Scenario 2: Cin - loses to Pitt and Baltimore -- 8-8, 5-7, 2-4 Pitt - beats Cin, loses to Cleveland -- 8-8, 5-7, 3-3 NY Jets -loses to SD and beats Buffalo -- 7-9, 5-7, 3-3 Miami -- beats Buffalo and NE -- 8-8, 6-6, 3-3 Div tie breaker, Pitt beat Cin twice. Miami beats Pittsburgh on AFC record 6-6 vs 5-7 Miami is #6 seed
For Indy and Pitt: Goes to common games, both 3-2. Goes to Strength of Victory. Using current record: Indy: 50-76 Pitt: 58-68
Indy would 11+ more victories than who Pitt beat in the last two weeks (32 games) by MN, GB, Miami, Jax, Buffalo, and Detroit.
Jets, Cleveland, Tennessee, and KC are common games
MN and GB play each other, so do Miami and Buffalo. Best they could get is 10 wins and wouldn't pass Pitt's SoV. Pitt gets the #5 seed
For Indy and Cincinnati Goes to common games, both 3-2 Goes to Strength of Victory. Using current record: Indy 50-76 Cin: 47-79
Common games: Jax, Cle, Mia, KC Cincinnati would need 4+ more victories than who Indy beat from Washington, Giants, Oakland, SD, Philly, and Baltimore. Oakland plays SD, so best they could get is 9.
Originally posted by ekedolphinIt looks to me like the Colts would make the playoffs with a win or a Steelers loss.
I meant to add that part but forgot. --Added
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(edited by Zeruel on 18.12.12 1434)
(edited by Zeruel on 18.12.12 1931)
-- 2006 Time magazine Person of the Year -- -- July 2009 Ordained Reverend --
It's make or break time for my team- I started out poorly but have recently picked up speed and can really help my chances with a smart trade. Here's my stituation: