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The W - Football - 2012-2013 NFL Playoff standing after week 15
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Zeruel
Thirty Millionth Hit
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Since: 2.1.02
From: The Silver Spring in the Land of Mary.

Since last post: 1666 days
Last activity: 1666 days
#1 Posted on | Instant Rating: 6.39
NFC
1. z-Atlanta (12-2) South Champions
2. x-San Francisco (10-3-1) West leader

3. z-Green Bay (10-4) North Champions
4. Washington (8-6) NFC leader, beat Dallas and NY Giants
5. Seattle (9-5)
6. D-Minnesota (8-6) (6-5 NFC, 3-2 div) beat Chicago on div record, beat Dallas on NFC record

7. D-Chicago (8-6) (5-5 NFC, 2-3 div) lost to Minnesota on div record, beat Dallas
8. Dallas (8-6) (5-5 NFC, 3-2 div) lost to Minnesota on NFC record, lost to Chicago, beat NY Giants on div record
9. NY Giants (8-6)
10 D-St. Louis (6-7-1)
11 D-New Orleans (6-8) Beat Tampa Bay

12 *-Tampa Bay (6-8)
13 *-Carolina (5-9) (4-7 NFC) Beat Arizona on NFC record
14 *-Arizona (5-9) (3-7 NFC) lost to Carolina on NFC record
15 *-Detroit (4-10) Beat Philadelphia
16 *-Philadelphia (4-10) lost to Detroit

x - clinched playoff spot
z - clinched division title
D - eliminated from Divisional title
W - eliminated from Wild Card spot
* - eliminated from playoffs

Wildcard
#6 Minnesota (8-6) @ #3 Green Bay (10-4)
#5 Seattle (9-5) @ #4 Washington (8-6)

1st round bye
#1 Atlanta (12-2)
#2 San Francisco (10-3-1)

(If the playoffs expanded)
Bye or #8 Dallas (8-6) @ #1 Atlanta (12-2)
#5 Seattle (9-5) @ #4 Washington (8-6)

#6 Minnesota (8-6) @ #3 Green Bay (10-4)
#7 Chicago (8-6) @ #2 San Francisco (10-3-1)

* Tampa Bay can not make the playoffs, could not pass Minnesota on NFC record (5-7 vs 6-6)

* New Orleans will be eliminated with a loss OR a win by any of (Minnesota, Chicago, Dallas, NY Giants) (They can still win on SoV vs Minnesota 43-69 (0.384) vs 44-66-2 (0.402) using current records. Teams they beat are (Ari, Car, Dal, Oak, Phi, SD, TB (twice)) and (Ari, Chi, Det (twice), Jax, SF, Stl, TN)
Only common victory is Arizona.

NO would need 2 wins of: Car, Dal, Oak, Phi, SD (or one TB win as they count twice) more than wins from Chi, Det (they count twice), Jax, SF, STL, and TN). STL plays TB week 16.

* St. Louis will be eliminated with a loss

* Washington will clinch a playoff spot with a win AND NY Giants, Chicago, and Minnesota loss

* Seattle will clinch a wildcard spot with a win OR any 3 losses by (Minnesota, Chicago, Dallas, NY Giants)

* Atlanta will clinch a #1 seed with a win
*******************************

AFC
1. Z-Houston (12-2) South Champions
2. z-Denver (11-3) West Champions

3. z-New England (10-4) East Champions
4. x-Baltimore (9-5) North leader
5. D-Indy (9-5)
6. Cincinnati (8-6)

7. Pittsburgh (7-7)
8. *-NY Jets (6-8) (4-6 AFC, 2-3 div) Beat Miami on div record
9. D-Miami (6-8) (4-6 AFC, 1-3 div)
10 *-Cleveland (5-9) (5-5 AFC) Beat San Diego, beat Buffalo and Tennessee on AFC record
11 *-San Diego (5-9) (5-5 AFC) Lost to Cleveland, Beat Buffalo and Tennessee on AFC record

12 *-Tennessee (5-9) (4-7 AFC) lost to Cleveland and San Diego on AFC record
13 *-Buffalo (5-9) (4-6 AFC) lost to Tennessee, lost to Cleveland and San Deigo on AFC record
14 *-Oakland (4-10)
15 *-Jacksonville (2-12) (2-8 AFC) Beat Kansas City on AFC record
16 *-Kansas City (2-12) (0-10 AFC) lost to Jacksonville on AFC record

x - clinched playoff spot
z - clinched division title
D - eliminated from Divisional title
* - eliminated from playoffs

Wildcard
#6 Cincinnati(8-6) @ #3 New England (10-4)
#5 Indy (9-5) @ #4 Baltimore (9-5)

1st Round Bye
#1 Houston (12-2)
#2 Denver (11-3)

(If the playoffs were expanded)
Bye or #8 NY Jets @ #1 Houston (12-2
#5 Indy (9-5) @ #4 Baltimore (9-5)

#6 Cincinnati(8-6) @ #3 New England (10-4)
#7 Pittsburgh (7-7) @ #2 Houston (11-3)

* Miami is alive as #9, but Jets aren't as #8 due to tiebreaker quirk, see post below.

* Miami is eliminated with a loss OR Cincinnati Win

* Pittsburgh is eliminated with a loss to Cincinnati

* Cincinnati will clinch a playoffspot with a win over Pittsburgh

* Indy will clinch a wildcard spot with a win or Pittsburgh loss

* Houston will clinch a #1 seed with a win

* Denver will clinch a 1st round bye with a win AND New England loss (Denver lost to New England)

Division strength by out of division record
1. NFC North (20-16) 0.555
2. NFC West (21-17) 0.552
3. NFC South (19-17) 0.527
4. AFC North (20-18) 0.526

5t NFC East (19-19) 0.500
5t AFC South (18-18) 0.500
7. AFC East (18-20) 0.474
8. AFC West (12-24) 0.33

The NFC is (36-24) 0.600 vs the AFC

The Home team is (127-96-1) 0.569 vs the Away team

(edited by Zeruel on 18.12.12 1014)

(edited by Zeruel on 18.12.12 1353)

(edited by Zeruel on 18.12.12 1356)

-- 2006 Time magazine Person of the Year --
FuellyFuelly
-- July 2009 Ordained Reverend --
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kwik
Summer sausage








Since: 5.9.02
From: Norwich, NY

Since last post: 2946 days
Last activity: 2926 days
#2 Posted on | Instant Rating: 7.39
    Originally posted by Zeruel




    * NY Jets and Miami are both eliminated with a loss OR Cincinnati Win




They're both already out. Best they can do is 8-8, and they'll lose tiebreakers. Even if Cincy-Pittsburgh ends in a tie this weekend, and the Jets win out, 8-7-1 will still beat 8-8. Same with Miami



ekedolphin
Scrapple








Since: 12.1.02
From: Indianapolis, IN; now residing in Suffolk, VA

Since last post: 481 days
Last activity: 5 days
#3 Posted on | Instant Rating: 3.17
It looks to me like the Colts would make the playoffs with a win or a Steelers loss.



"Don't do anything I wouldn't do."
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Zeruel
Thirty Millionth Hit
Moderator








Since: 2.1.02
From: The Silver Spring in the Land of Mary.

Since last post: 1666 days
Last activity: 1666 days
#4 Posted on | Instant Rating: 6.39
    Originally posted by kwik
      Originally posted by Zeruel




      * NY Jets and Miami are both eliminated with a loss OR Cincinnati Win




    They're both already out. Best they can do is 8-8, and they'll lose tiebreakers. Even if Cincy-Pittsburgh ends in a tie this weekend, and the Jets win out, 8-7-1 will still beat 8-8. Same with Miami


Yes and no.

I was wrong about the Jets (they are out) but Miami is in, because of tie breakers.
Scenario 1:
Cin - loses to Pitt and Baltimore -- 8-8, 5-7, 2-4
Pitt - beats Cin, loses to Cleveland -- 8-8, 5-7, 3-3
NY Jets - Beats SD and beats Buffalo -- 8-8, 6-6, 3-3
Miami -- beats Buffalo and NE -- 8-8, 6-6, 3-3

Div tie breakers, Pitt beat Cin twice, NYJ and Miami tied for Div record so it goes to Common games. Jets are 6-6, Miami is 4-8.
Pittsburgh beat the Jets, so Pittsburgh is #6 seed

Scenario 2:
Cin - loses to Pitt and Baltimore -- 8-8, 5-7, 2-4
Pitt - beats Cin, loses to Cleveland -- 8-8, 5-7, 3-3
NY Jets -loses to SD and beats Buffalo -- 7-9, 5-7, 3-3
Miami -- beats Buffalo and NE -- 8-8, 6-6, 3-3
Div tie breaker, Pitt beat Cin twice.
Miami beats Pittsburgh on AFC record 6-6 vs 5-7
Miami is #6 seed

For poops and laughs, Indy loses out, Pitt wins out:
Indy 9-7, 6-6
Pitt 9-7, 6-6, 3-3
Cin beats Baltimore 9-7, 6-6, 2-4
Pitt beat Cin twice

For Indy and Pitt:
Goes to common games, both 3-2.
Goes to Strength of Victory. Using current record:
Indy: 50-76
Pitt: 58-68

Indy would 11+ more victories than who Pitt beat in the last two weeks (32 games) by MN, GB, Miami, Jax, Buffalo, and Detroit.

Jets, Cleveland, Tennessee, and KC are common games

MN and GB play each other, so do Miami and Buffalo. Best they could get is 10 wins and wouldn't pass Pitt's SoV.
Pitt gets the #5 seed

For Indy and Cincinnati
Goes to common games, both 3-2
Goes to Strength of Victory. Using current record:
Indy 50-76
Cin: 47-79

Common games: Jax, Cle, Mia, KC
Cincinnati would need 4+ more victories than who Indy beat from Washington, Giants, Oakland, SD, Philly, and Baltimore. Oakland plays SD, so best they could get is 9.

    Originally posted by ekedolphin
    It looks to me like the Colts would make the playoffs with a win or a Steelers loss.


I meant to add that part but forgot. --Added


(edited by Zeruel on 18.12.12 1418)

(edited by Zeruel on 18.12.12 1434)

(edited by Zeruel on 18.12.12 1931)

-- 2006 Time magazine Person of the Year --
FuellyFuelly
-- July 2009 Ordained Reverend --
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